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This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

Starting from a linear fractional representation of a linear system affected by constant parametric uncertainties, we demonstrate how to enhance standard robust analysis tests by taking available (noisy) input-output data of the uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tobias Holicki , Carsten W. Scherer

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

Standard Gradient Descent and its modern variants assume local, Markovian weight updates, making them highly susceptible to noise and overfitting. This limitation becomes critically severe in extremely imbalanced datasets such as financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Gustavo A. Dorrego

Adaptive finite element methods are a powerful tool to obtain numerical simulation results in a reasonable time. Due to complex chemical and mechanical couplings in lithium-ion batteries, numerical simulations are very helpful to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-17 Raphael Schoof , Lennart Flür , Florian Tuschner , Willy Dörfler

Transport phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and known to be important for various scientific domains. Examples can be found in physics, electrochemistry, heterogeneous catalysis, physiology, etc. To obtain new information about diffusive…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Denis S. Grebenkov

In the paper Controlling Garbage Collection and Request Admission to Improve Performance of FaaS Applications, we verified and evaluated the impact of memory management mechanics of programming languages in the context of Functions as a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-30 David Ferreira Quaresma , Thiago Emmanuel Pereira , Daniel Fireman

Memory corruption is a serious class of software vulnerabilities, which requires careful attention to be detected and removed from applications before getting exploited and harming the system users. Symbolic execution is a well-known method…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Sara Baradaran , Mahdi Heidari , Ali Kamali , Maryam Mouzarani

The records statistics in stationary and non-stationary fractal time series is studied extensively. By calculating various concepts in record dynamics, we find some interesting results. In stationary fractional Gaussian noises, we observe a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-17 A. Aliakbari , P. Manshour , M. J. Salehi

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

This article deals with the sequential design of experiments for (deterministic or stochastic) multi-fidelity numerical simulators, that is, simulators that offer control over the accuracy of simulation of the physical phenomenon or system…

Defect prediction models---classifiers that identify defect-prone software modules---have configurable parameters that control their characteristics (e.g., the number of trees in a random forest). Recent studies show that these classifiers…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Chakkrit Tantithamthavorn , Shane McIntosh , Ahmed E. Hassan , Kenichi Matsumoto

We present Fractional Diffusion Bridge Models (FDBM), a novel generative diffusion bridge framework driven by an approximation of the rich and non-Markovian fractional Brownian motion (fBM). Real stochastic processes exhibit a degree of…

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

Generic non-Markovian quantum processes have infinitely long memory, implying an exact description that grows exponentially in complexity with observation time. Here, we present a finite memory ansatz that approximates (or recovers) the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-13 Philip Taranto , Felix A. Pollock , Kavan Modi

Particle approximations for certain nonlinear and nonlocal reaction-diffusion equations are studied using a system of Brownian motions with killing. The system is described by a collection of i.i.d. Brownian particles where each particle is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Amarjit Budhiraja , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Ruoyu Wu

The movement of a particle described by Brownian motion is quantified by a single parameter, $D$, the diffusion constant. The estimation of $D$ from a discrete sequence of noisy observations is a fundamental problem in biological single…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-13 Peter K. Relich , Mark J. Olah , Patrick J. Cutler , Keith A. Lidke

This note introduces a doubly robust (DR) estimator for regression discontinuity (RD) designs. RD designs provide a quasi-experimental framework for estimating treatment effects, where treatment assignment depends on whether a running…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Masahiro Kato

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is traditionally formulated as a nested optimization and reliability problem. Although surrogate models are generally employed to improve efficiency, the approach remains computationally…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-08 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret