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In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

Using extensive numerical studies we demonstrate that absolute negative mobility of a Brownian particle (i.e. the net motion into the direction opposite to a constant biasing force acting around zero bias) does coexist with anomalous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 J. Spiechowicz , P. Hänggi , J. Łuczka

Motivated by the goal of understanding the evolution of populations undergoing selection, we consider branching Brownian motion in which particles independently move according to one-dimensional Brownian motion with drift, each particle may…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-04 Matthew I. Roberts , Jason Schweinsberg

Symmetries play a conspicuous role in the large-scale behavior of critical systems. While in equilibrium they allow to classify asymptotics into different universality classes, out of equilibrium they can emerge, some times unexpectedly, as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-26 Enrique Rodriguez-Fernandez , Rodolfo Cuerno

We expand upon a natural analogy between Bayesian statistics and statistical physics in which sample size corresponds to inverse temperature. This analogy motivates the definition of two novel statistical quantities: a learning capacity and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Colin H. LaMont , Paul A. Wiggins

In statistical inference, uncertainty is unknown and all models are wrong. That is to say, a person who makes a statistical model and a prior distribution is simultaneously aware that both are fictional candidates. To study such cases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Sumio Watanabe

The widely claimed replicability crisis in science may lead to revised standards of significance. The customary frequentist confidence intervals, calibrated through hypothetical repetitions of the experiment that is supposed to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Luigi Pace , Alessandra Salvan

We investigate stochastic processes that generalize geometric Brownian motion, focusing on cases where the standard invariant measure, i.e. the solution of the stationary Fokker-Planck equation does not necessarily exist. We demonstrate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-18 S. Giordano , R. Blossey

In this paper, we discuss the use of $\varepsilon$-admissibility for estimation in high-dimensional and nonparametric statistical models. The minimax rate of convergence is widely used to compare the performance of estimators in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Keisuke Yano , Fumiyasu Komaki

For a system consisting of several Dirac fields and a particle, we study the Cauchy problem with random initial data. We assume that the initial measure has zero mean value, a finite mean charge density, a translation-invariant covariance…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-04-23 T. V. Dudnikova

Consider non-intersecting Brownian motions on the real line, starting from the origin at t=0, with a number of particles forced to reach p distinct target points at time t=1. This work shows that the transition probability, that is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 Mark Adler , Jonathan Delepine , Pierre van Moerbeke , Pol Vanhaecke

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on generalized diffusion equations (containing derivatives of fractional order in space or/and time) and related random walk models. The fundamental solution (for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-25 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Daniele Moretti , Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

The practical implementation of Bayesian inference requires numerical approximation when closed-form expressions are not available. What types of accuracy (convergence) of the numerical approximations guarantee robustness and what types do…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-21 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel

We introduce the concept of Randomly Modulated Gaussian Processes as a unifying framework for modeling, analyzing and classifying anomalous diffusion models in heterogeneous media. This formulation incorporates correlations in the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Yann Lanoiselée , Denis S. Grebenkov , Gianni Pagnini

In this paper, using an algorithm based on the retrospective rejection sampling scheme, we propose an exact simulation of a Brownian diffusion whose drift admits several jumps. We treat explicitly and extensively the case of two jumps,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-27 David Dereudre , Sara Mazzonetto , Sylvie Roelly

The first-exit time process of an inverse Gaussian L\'evy process is considered. The one-dimensional distribution functions of the process are obtained. They are not infinitely divisible and the tail probabilities decay exponentially. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 P. Vellaisamy , A. Kumar

We consider a 1-dimensional Brownian motion whose diffusion coefficient varies when it crosses the origin. We study the long time behavior and we establish different regimes, depending on the variations of the diffusion coefficient:…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Nicolas Meunier , Clément Mouhot , Raphaël Roux

The properties of diffusion processes are drastically affected by heterogeneities of the medium that can induce non-Gaussian behavior of the propagator in contrast with the idealized realm of Brownian motion. In this paper we analyze the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 Yann Lanoiselée , Denis S. Grebenkov

Bayesian and frequentist criteria fundamentally differ, but often posterior and sampling distributions agree asymptotically (e.g., Gaussian with same covariance). For the corresponding single-draw experiment, we characterize the frequentist…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-04 David M. Kaplan , Longhao Zhuo

In the interpretation of experimental data, one is actually looking for plausible explanations. We look for a measure of plausibility, with which we can compare different possible explanations, and which can be combined when there are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-12-30 Wan Ahmad Tajuddin Wan Abdullah
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