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Related papers: Transporting treatment effects from difference-in-…

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We develop flexible, semiparametric estimators of the average treatment effect (ATE) transported to a new population ("target population") that offer potential efficiency gains. Transport may be of value when the ATE may differ across…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Kara E. Rudolph , Nicholas T. Williams , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Ivan Diaz

When assessing causal effects, determining the target population to which the results are intended to generalize is a critical decision. Randomized and observational studies each have strengths and limitations for estimating causal effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Irina Degtiar , Sherri Rose

Difference-in-Differences (DID) research designs usually rely on variation of treatment timing such that, after making an appropriate parallel trends assumption, one can identify, estimate, and make inference about causal effects. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-07 Michelle Marcus , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Difference-in-differences (DID) is a widely used approach for drawing causal inference from observational panel data. Two common estimation strategies for DID are outcome regression and propensity score weighting. In this paper, motivated…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-05 Fan Li , Fan Li

Randomized controlled trials often enroll participants whose characteristics differ from those of a target population, which can limit the generalizability of the estimated treatment effects when effect modifiers differ across populations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Lan Wen , Issa J. Dahabreh , Yu-Han Chiu

This paper studies staggered Difference-in-Differences (DiD) design when there is a second event confounding the target event. When the events are correlated, the treatment and the control group are unevenly exposed to the effects of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Lin-Tung Tsai

Generalizability and transportability methods have been proposed to address the external validity bias of randomized clinical trials that results from differences in the distribution of treatment effect modifiers between trial and target…

The difference-in-differences (DiD) design is a quasi-experimental method for estimating treatment effects. In staggered DiD with multiple treatment groups and periods, estimation based on the two-way fixed effects model yields negative…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Yuhao Deng , Le Kang

When one studies the effects of taxes, tariffs, or prices using panel data, the treatment is often continuously distributed in every period. We propose difference-in-differences (DID) estimators for such cases. We assume that between…

This paper introduces the Difference-in-Differences Bayesian Causal Forest (DiD-BCF), a novel non-parametric model addressing key challenges in DiD estimation, such as staggered adoption and heterogeneous treatment effects. DiD-BCF provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

Randomized trials and observational studies, more often than not, run over a certain period of time. The treatment effect evolves during this period which provides crucial insights into the treatment response and the long-term effects. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-13 Shu Li , Peter Bühlmann

Generalizing treatment effects from a randomized trial to a target population requires the assumption that potential outcome distributions are invariant across populations after conditioning on observed covariates. This assumption fails…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , Cole Beck , Jared D. Huling

Policymakers and researchers often seek to understand how a policy differentially affects a population and the pathways driving this heterogeneity. For example, when studying an excise tax on sweetened beverages, researchers might assess…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Gary Hettinger , Youjin Lee , Nandita Mitra

Estimating causal effects under interference, where the stable unit treatment value assumption is violated, is critical in fields such as regional and public economics. Much of the existing research on causal inference under interference…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Akihiro Sato , Shonosuke Sugasawa

This paper extends difference-in-differences to settings with continuous treatments. Specifically, the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) at any level of treatment intensity is identified under a conditional parallel trends…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-05 Lucas Z. Zhang

While a difference-in-differences (DID) design was originally developed with one pre- and one post-treatment period, data from additional pre-treatment periods are often available. How can researchers improve the DID design with such…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-14 Naoki Egami , Soichiro Yamauchi

In many scenarios, such as the evaluation of place-based policies, potential outcomes are not only dependent upon the unit's own treatment but also its neighbors' treatment. Despite this, "difference-in-differences" (DID) type estimators…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-30 Ruonan Xu

We discuss the identifiability of causal estimands for generalizability and transportability analyses, both under perfect and imperfect adherence to treatment assignment. We consider a setting where the trial data contain information on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Issa J. Dahabreh , Sarah E. Robertson , Miguel A. Hernán

We consider estimating the conditional average treatment effect for everyone by eliminating confounding and selection bias. Unfortunately, randomized clinical trials (RCTs) eliminate confounding but impose strict exclusion criteria that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-15 Eric V. Strobl , Thomas A. Lasko