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Aggregated hold-out (Agghoo) is a method which averages learning rules selected by hold-out (that is, cross-validation with a single split). We provide the first theoretical guarantees on Agghoo, ensuring that it can be used safely: Agghoo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Guillaume Maillard , Sylvain Arlot , Matthieu Lerasle

Variable (feature, gene, model, which we use interchangeably) selections for regression with high-dimensional BIGDATA have found many applications in bioinformatics, computational biology, image processing, and engineering. One appealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Zhenqiu Liu , Gang Li

In many real-world applications, we are interested in approximating black-box, costly functions as accurately as possible with the smallest number of function evaluations. A complex computer code is an example of such a function. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Daniel Williamson , Marc Goodfellow

We study the classical problem of predicting an outcome variable, $Y$, using a linear combination of a $d$-dimensional covariate vector, $\mathbf{X}$. We are interested in linear predictors whose coefficients solve: % \begin{align*}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 José Luis Montiel Olea , Cynthia Rush , Amilcar Velez , Johannes Wiesel

We propose a test of the significance of a variable appearing on the Lasso path and use it in a procedure for selecting one of the models of the Lasso path, controlling the Family-Wise Error Rate. Our null hypothesis depends on a set A of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Matthieu Pluntz , Cyril Dalmasso , Pascale Tubert-Bitter , Ismail Ahmed

Cross-validation (CV) is a technique for evaluating the ability of statistical models/learning systems based on a given data set. Despite its wide applicability, the rather heavy computational cost can prevent its use as the system size…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-26 Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Tomoyuki Obuchi , Makoto Uemura

Uniform stability of a learning algorithm is a classical notion of algorithmic stability introduced to derive high-probability bounds on the generalization error (Bousquet and Elisseeff, 2002). Specifically, for a loss function with range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Vitaly Feldman , Jan Vondrak

We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the $\ell^1$-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we first present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-01-22 Francis Bach

Calculation of the log-normalizer is a major computational obstacle in applications of log-linear models with large output spaces. The problem of fast normalizer computation has therefore attracted significant attention in the theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-19 Jacob Andreas , Maxim Rabinovich , Dan Klein , Michael I. Jordan

When evaluating and comparing models using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), the uncertainty of the estimate is typically assessed using the variance of the sampling distribution. Considering the uncertainty is important, as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari

Covariate adjustment is a general method for improving precision when estimating treatment effects in randomized trials and is recommended by the FDA in its 2023 guidance when baseline variables are prognostic for the primary outcome. We…

I develop an algorithm to produce the piecewise quadratic that computes leave-one-out cross-validation for the lasso as a function of its hyperparameter. The algorithm can be used to find exact hyperparameters that optimize leave-one-out…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Ryan Burn

Many problems in signal processing require finding sparse solutions to under-determined, or ill-conditioned, linear systems of equations. When dealing with real-world data, the presence of outliers and impulsive noise must also be accounted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Jasin Machkour , Michael Muma , Bastian Alt , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) can be particularly accurate among cross-validation (CV) variants for machine learning assessment tasks -- e.g., assessing methods' error or variability. But it is expensive to re-fit a model $N$ times…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 William T. Stephenson , Tamara Broderick

Linear regression with normally distributed errors - including particular cases such as ANOVA, Student's t-test or location-scale inference - is a widely used statistical procedure. In this case the ordinary least squares estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Alain Desgagné

Regularization is a popular technique in machine learning for model estimation and avoiding overfitting. Prior studies have found that modern ordered regularization can be more effective in handling highly correlated, high-dimensional data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Mahammad Humayoo , Xueqi Cheng

Ordinary least square (OLS) estimation of a linear regression model is well-known to be highly sensitive to outliers. It is common practice to (1) identify and remove outliers by looking at the data and (2) to fit OLS and form confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Shuxiao Chen , Jacob Bien

It has recently been discovered that the conclusions of many highly influential econometrics studies can be overturned by removing a very small fraction of their samples (often less than $0.5\%$). These conclusions are typically based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Ittai Rubinstein , Samuel B. Hopkins

Subject-exclusive cross-validation is the standard evaluation protocol for facial Action Unit (AU) detection, yet reported improvements are often small. We show that cross-validation itself introduces measurable stochastic variance. On…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Saurabh Hinduja , Gurmeet Kaur , Maneesh Bilalpur , Jeffrey Cohn , Shaun Canavan

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is widely used for evaluating diagnostic systems. Recent studies have shown that estimating an area under ROC curve (AUC) with standard cross-validation methods suffers from a large bias. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Ileana Montoya Perez , Antti Airola , Peter J. Boström , Ivan Jambor , Tapio Pahikkala