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Mathematical models of the real world are simplified representations of complex systems. A caveat to using mathematical models is that predicted causal effects and conditional independences may not be robust under model extensions, limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Tineke Blom , Joris M. Mooij

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

Models for vehicle dynamics play an important role in maneuver planning for automated driving. They are used to derive trajectories from given control inputs, or to evaluate a given trajectory in terms of constraint violation or optimality…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-15 J. R. Ziehn , M. Ruf , M. Roschani , J. Beyerer

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a vehicle dynamics model for predictive control in driving applications. Instead of solely using the instantaneous parameters estimated from the vehicle signals, we combine this with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Marcus Greiff , Ray Zhang , Takeru Shirasawa , John Subosits

Large-scale ride-hailing systems often combine real-time routing at the individual request level with a macroscopic Model Predictive Control (MPC) optimization for dynamic pricing and vehicle relocation. The MPC relies on a demand forecast…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Enpeng Yuan , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

The dynamic vehicle dispatching problem corresponds to deciding which vehicles to assign to requests that arise stochastically over time and space. It emerges in diverse areas, such as in the assignment of trucks to loads to be transported;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Edyvalberty Alenquer Cordeiro , Anselmo Ramalho Pitombeira-Neto

Commercial driving is a complex multifaceted task influenced by personal traits and external contextual factors, such as weather, traffic, road conditions, etc. Previous intelligent commercial driver-assessment systems do not consider these…

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

Policy learning using historical observational data is an important problem that has found widespread applications. Examples include selecting offers, prices, advertisements to send to customers, as well as selecting which medication to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Nian Si , Fan Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhou , Jose Blanchet

We consider data-driven approaches that integrate a machine learning prediction model within distributionally robust optimization (DRO) given limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates. Our framework is flexible in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

The literature on provable robustness in machine learning has primarily focused on static prediction problems, such as image classification, in which input samples are assumed to be independent and model performance is measured as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Aounon Kumar , Vinu Sankar Sadasivan , Soheil Feizi

Ride-sharing is a modern urban-mobility paradigm with tremendous potential in reducing congestion and pollution. Demand-aware design is a promising avenue for addressing a critical challenge in ride-sharing systems, namely joint…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Qiulin Lin , Wenjie Xu , Minghua Chen , Xiaojun Lin

Conversational Recommender Systems (CRS) has become an emerging research topic seeking to perform recommendations through interactive conversations, which generally consist of generation and recommendation modules. Prior work on CRS tends…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Lingzhi Wang , Shafiq Joty , Wei Gao , Xingshan Zeng , Kam-Fai Wong

We study a class of two-stage stochastic programs, namely, those with fixed recourse matrix and fixed costs, and linear second stage. We show that, under mild assumptions, the problem can be solved with just one scenario, which we call an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Tito Homem-de-Mello , Juan Valencia , Felipe Lagos , Guido Lagos

Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Antonios Tziorvas , George S. Theodoropoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

Robust causal discovery from observational data under imperfect prior knowledge remains a significant and largely unresolved challenge. Existing methods typically presuppose perfect priors or can only handle specific, pre-identified error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Zidong Wang , Xi Lin , Chuchao He , Xiaoguang Gao

Deep learning models are widely used in traffic forecasting and have achieved state-of-the-art prediction accuracy. However, the black-box nature of those models makes the results difficult to interpret by users. This study aims to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Rushan Wang , Yanan Xin , Yatao Zhang , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Martin Raubal