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Accurate short-term solar and wind power predictions play an important role in the planning and operation of power systems. However, the short-term power prediction of renewable energy has always been considered a complex regression…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-08 Wenlong Liao , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai , Zhe Yang , Kuangpu Liu

Solar flare forecasting research using machine learning (ML) has focused on high resolution magnetogram data from the SDO/HMI era covering Solar Cycle 24 and the start of Solar Cycle 25, with some efforts looking back to SOHO/MDI for data…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-30 Kiera van der Sande , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Subhamoy Chatterjee

This paper introduces a high resolution, machine learning-ready heliophysics dataset derived from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), specifically designed to advance machine learning (ML) applications in solar physics and space…

The prediction of solar irradiance enhances reliability in photovoltaic (PV) solar plant generation and grid integration. In Colombia, PV plants face penalties if energy production deviates beyond governmental thresholds from intraday…

An exponential growth in computing power, which has brought more sophisticated and higher resolution simulations of the climate system, and an exponential increase in observations since the first weather satellite was put in orbit, are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-20 Annalisa Bracco , Julien Brajard , Henk A. Dijkstra , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Christian Lessig , Claire Monteleoni

Accurate estimates of surface solar irradiance (SSI) are essential for solar resource assessments and solar energy forecasts in grid integration and building control applications. SSI estimates for spatially extended regions can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 K. R. Schuurman , A. Meyer

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

Solar shading design should be done for the desired Indoor Environmental Quality (IEQ) in the early design stages. This field can be very challenging and time-consuming also requires experts, sophisticated software, and a large amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Maryam Daneshi , Reza Taghavi Fard , Zahra Sadat Zomorodian , Mohammad Tahsildoost

The data acquisition of solar radiation in a locality is essential for the development of efficient designs of systems, whose operation is based on solar energy. This paper presents a methodology to estimate solar irradiance using an…

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

Operational flare forecasting aims at providing predictions that can be used to make decisions, typically at a daily scale, about the space weather impacts of flare occurrence. This study shows that video-based deep learning can be used for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-13 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

Solar energy forecasting has seen tremendous growth in the last decade using historical time series collected from a weather station, such as weather variables wind speed and direction, solar radiance, and temperature. It helps in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Soham Vyas , Yuvraj Goyal , Neel Bhatt , Sanskar Bhuwania , Hardik Patel , Shakti Mishra , Brijesh Tripathi

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Combining satellite imagery with machine learning (SIML) has the potential to address global challenges by remotely estimating socioeconomic and environmental conditions in data-poor regions, yet the resource requirements of SIML limit its…

Improvements of Machine Learning (ML)-based radiation emulators remain constrained by the underlying assumptions to represent horizontal and vertical subgrid-scale cloud distributions, which continue to introduce substantial uncertainties.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-09 Katharina Hafner , Sara Shamekh , Guillaume Bertoli , Axel Lauer , Robert Pincus , Julien Savre , Veronika Eyring

Machine learning is nowadays the methodology of choice for flare forecasting and supervised techniques, in both their traditional and deep versions, are becoming the most frequently used ones for prediction in this area of space weather.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Anna Maria Massone , Michele Piana

Considering the grid manager's point of view, needs in terms of prediction of intermittent energy like the photovoltaic resource can be distinguished according to the considered horizon: following days (d+1, d+2 and d+3), next day by hourly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-24 Cyril Voyant , Christophe Paoli , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet

Solar flare forecasting can be realized by means of the analysis of magnetic data through artificial intelligence techniques. The aim is to predict whether a magnetic active region (AR) will originate solar flares above a certain class…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-29 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

As the world shifts towards utilizing natural resources for electricity generation, there is need to enhance forecasting systems to guarantee a stable electricity provision and to incorporate the generated power into the network systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Ismum Ul Hossain , Mohammad Nahidul Islam

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero