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Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) are an extension of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting multiple output variables (also called channels, tasks) simultaneously. In this paper we use the convolution theorem to design a new kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Kai Chen , Twan van Laarhoven , Perry Groot , Jinsong Chen , Elena Marchiori

In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

Applying Gaussian processes (GPs) to very large datasets remains a challenge due to limited computational scalability. Matrix structures, such as the Kronecker product, can accelerate operations significantly, but their application commonly…

Gaussian Process (GP) models are popular tools in uncertainty quantification (UQ) because they purport to furnish functional uncertainty estimates that can be used to represent model uncertainty. It is often difficult to state with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Carlo Graziani , Marieme Ngom

Gaussian process models -also called Kriging models- are often used as mathematical approximations of expensive experiments. However, the number of observation required for building an emulator becomes unrealistic when using classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-17 Nicolas Durrande , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant , Laurent Carraro

A Gaussian Process (GP) is a prominent mathematical framework for stochastic function approximation in science and engineering applications. This success is largely attributed to the GP's analytical tractability, robustness, non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-19 Marcus M. Noack , Harinarayan Krishnan , Mark D. Risser , Kristofer G. Reyes

To speed up Gaussian process inference, a number of fast kernel matrix-vector multiplication (MVM) approximation algorithms have been proposed over the years. In this paper, we establish an exact fast kernel MVM algorithm based on exact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Nicolas Langrené , Xavier Warin , Pierre Gruet

We present the class of Hida-Mat\'ern kernels, which is the canonical family of covariance functions over the entire space of stationary Gauss-Markov Processes. It extends upon Mat\'ern kernels, by allowing for flexible construction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-30 Matthew Dowling , Piotr Sokół , Il Memming Park

Gaussian processes (GPs) are an attractive class of machine learning models because of their simplicity and flexibility as building blocks of more complex Bayesian models. Meanwhile, graph neural networks (GNNs) emerged recently as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Zehao Niu , Mihai Anitescu , Jie Chen

We introduce a Gaussian process model of functions which are additive. An additive function is one which decomposes into a sum of low-dimensional functions, each depending on only a subset of the input variables. Additive GPs generalize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-20 David Duvenaud , Hannes Nickisch , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible models that can capture complex structure in large-scale dataset due to their non-parametric nature. However, the usage of GPs in real-world application is limited due to their high computational cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Congzheng Song , Yiming Sun

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and widely used probabilistic regression models, but their effectiveness in practice is often limited by the choice of kernel function. This kernel function is typically handcrafted from a small set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Sebastian Ament , Louis C. Tiao , David Eriksson , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

We investigate uncertainties in the estimation of the Hubble constant ($H_0$) arising from Gaussian Process (GP) reconstruction, demonstrating that the choice of kernel introduces systematic variations comparable to those arising from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-07 Ruchika , Purba Mukherjee , Arianna Favale

We consider a Gaussian process formulation of the multiple kernel learning problem. The goal is to select the convex combination of kernel matrices that best explains the data and by doing so improve the generalisation on unseen data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-25 Cedric Archambeau , Francis Bach

For many survey-based spatial modelling problems, responses are observed as spatially aggregated over survey regions due to limited resources. Covariates, from weather models and satellite imageries, can be observed at many different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Harrison Zhu , Adam Howes , Owen van Eer , Maxime Rischard , Yingzhen Li , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a general and analytically tractable way of modeling complex time-varying, nonparametric functions. The Automatic Bayesian Covariance Discovery (ABCD) system constructs natural-language description of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-15 Yunseong Hwang , Anh Tong , Jaesik Choi

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

This paper introduces a method for the nonparametric Bayesian learning of nonlinear operators, through the use of the Volterra series with kernels represented using Gaussian processes (GPs), which we term the nonparametric Volterra kernels…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Magnus Ross , Michael T. Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson