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Increased data availability has stimulated the interest in studying sports prediction problems via analytical approaches; in particular, with machine learning and simulation. We characterize several models that have been proposed in the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-07-11 Ignacio Erazo

In the National Basketball Association (NBA), teams must make choices about which players to acquire, how much to pay them, and other decisions that are fundamentally dependent on player effectiveness. Thus, there is great interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Dapo Omidiran

In this paper, we develop a group learning approach to analyze the underlying heterogeneity structure of shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. We propose a mixture of finite mixtures (MFM) model to capture the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-21 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue

Identifying combinations of players (that is, lineups) in basketball - and other sports - that perform well when they play together is one of the most important tasks in sports analytics. One of the main challenges associated with this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Christos Petridis , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

National Basketball Association (NBA) players are highly motivated and skilled experts that solve complex decision making problems at every time point during a game. As a step towards understanding how players make their decisions, we focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Sandro Hauri , Nemanja Djuric , Vladan Radosavljevic , Slobodan Vucetic

There seems to be an upper limit to predicting the outcome of matches in (semi-)professional sports. Recent work has proposed that this is due to chance and attempts have been made to simulate the distribution of win percentages to identify…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-21 Albrecht Zimmermann

Motivated by the goal of evaluating real-time forecasts of home team win probabilities in the National Basketball Association, we develop new tools for measuring the quality of continuously updated probabilistic forecasts. This includes…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Gregory Rice , Joel A. Dubin

Shot charts in basketball analytics provide an indispensable tool for evaluating players' shooting performance by visually representing the distribution of field goal attempts across different court locations. However, conventional methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca , Dimitris Karlis

Throughout the analytical revolution that has occurred in the NBA, the development of specific metrics and formulas has given teams, coaches, and players a new way to see the game. However - the question arises - how can we verify any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Eamon Mukhopadhyay

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric matrix clustering approach to analyze the latent heterogeneity structure in the shot selection data collected from professional basketball players in the National Basketball Association (NBA). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Fan Yin , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the extent to which the margin of victory can be predicted solely by the rankings of the opposing teams in NCAA Division I men's basketball games. Several past studies have modeled this…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-14 David Beaudoin , Thierry Duchesne

The National Basketball Association(NBA) has expanded their data gathering and have heavily invested in new technologies to gather advanced performance metrics on players. This expanded data set allows analysts to use unique performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Neil Seward

Randomized benchmarking (RB) is a widely used method for estimating the average fidelity of gates implemented on a quantum computing device. The stochastic error of the average gate fidelity estimated by RB depends on the sampling strategy…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-17 Toshinari Itoko , Rudy Raymond

Multiplayer Online Battle Arena (MOBA) games have received increasing popularity recently. In a match of such games, players compete in two teams of five, each controlling an in-game avatars, known as heroes, selected from a roster of more…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Zhengxing Chen , Truong-Huy D Nguyen , Yuyu Xu , Chris Amato , Seth Cooper , Yizhou Sun , Magy Seif El-Nasr

It is common to be interested in rankings or order relationships among entities. In complex settings where one does not directly measure a univariate statistic upon which to base ranks, such inferences typically rely on statistical models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Andres F. Barrientos , Deborshee Sen , Garritt L Page , David B Dunson

It is customary for researchers and practitioners to fit linear models in order to predict NBA player's salary based on the players' performance on court. On the contrary, we focus on the players salary share (with regards to the team…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-07 Ioanna Papadaki , Michail Tsagris

Understanding a player's performance in a basketball game requires an evaluation of the player in the context of their teammates and the opposing lineup. Here, we present NBA2Vec, a neural network model based on Word2Vec which extracts…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-28 Webster Guan , Nauman Javed , Peter Lu

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

We examine whether social data can be used to predict how members of Major League Baseball (MLB) and members of the National Basketball Association (NBA) transition between teams during their career. We find that incorporating social data…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Emily J. Evans , Rebecca Jones , Joseph Leung , Benjamin Z. Webb

In this paper, we consider mixtures of two Mallows models for top-$k$ rankings, both with the same location parameter but with different scale parameters, i.e., a mixture of concentric Mallows models. This situation arises when we have a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Collas Fabien , Irurozki Ekhine
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