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A treatment for a complicated disease may be helpful for some but not all patients, which makes predicting the treatment effect for new patients important yet challenging. Here we develop a method for predicting the treatment effect based…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Heidi Seibold , Achim Zeileis , Torsten Hothorn

This paper introduces new effect parameters for factorial survival designs with possibly right-censored time-to-event data. In the special case of a two-sample design it coincides with the concordance or Wilcoxon parameter in survival…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

Randomized trials typically estimate average relative treatment effects, but decisions on the benefit of a treatment are possibly better informed by more individualized predictions of the absolute treatment effect. In case of a binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 J Hoogland , J IntHout , M Belias , MM Rovers , RD Riley , FE Harrell , KGM Moons , TPA Debray , JB Reitsma

Demystifying effective connectivity among neuronal populations has become the trend to understand the brain mechanisms of Parkinson's disease, schizophrenia, mild traumatic brain injury, and many other unlisted neurological diseases.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-27 Po-Ya Hsu

Accurate predictions of when a component will fail are crucial when planning maintenance, and by modeling the distribution of these failure times, survival models have shown to be particularly useful in this context. The presented…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Olov Holmer , Mattias Krysander , Erik Frisk

Over time, the performance of clinical prediction models may deteriorate due to changes in clinical management, data quality, disease risk and/or patient mix. Such prediction models must be updated in order to remain useful. Here, we…

Radiation therapy outcomes are decided by two key parameters, dose and timing, whose best values vary substantially across patients. This variability is especially critical in the treatment of brain cancer, where fractionated or staged…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-06-24 Hao Peng , Steve Jiang , Robert Timmerman

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are commonly applied to clinical time-series data with the goal of learning patient risk stratification models. Their effectiveness is due, in part, to their use of parameter sharing over time (i.e., cells…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-03 Jeeheh Oh , Jiaxuan Wang , Shengpu Tang , Michael Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

We generalize the potential outcome framework to time series with an intervention by defining causal effects on stochastic processes. Interventions in dynamic systems alter not only outcome levels but also evolutionary dynamics -- changing…

We develop a new method for simultaneously selecting fixed and random effects in a multilevel functional regression model. The proposed method is motivated by accelerometer-derived physical activity data from the 2011-12 cohort of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Rahul Ghosal , Marcos Matabuena , Enakshi Saha

This work bridges the gap between staggered adoption designs and survival analysis to estimate causal effects in settings with time-varying treatments, addressing a fundamental challenge in medical research exemplified by the Stanford Heart…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Xiang Meng , Iavor Bojinov

Recent neuroimaging studies have highlighted the importance of network-centric brain analysis, particularly with functional magnetic resonance imaging. The emergence of Deep Neural Networks has fostered a substantial interest in predicting…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-06 Xuan Kan , Antonio Aodong Chen Gu , Hejie Cui , Ying Guo , Carl Yang

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) consist of a sequence of decision rules, one per stage of intervention, that finds effective treatments for individual patients according to patient information history. DTRs can be estimated from models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sahir Bhatnagar

The traditional model specification of stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trials assumes a homogeneous treatment effect across time while adjusting for fixed-time effects. However, when treatment effects vary over time, the constant effect…

The vision for precision medicine is to use individual patient characteristics to inform a personalized treatment plan that leads to the best healthcare possible for each patient. Mobile technologies have an important role to play in this…

The current healthcare system is facing an unprecedented chronic disease burden. This paper develops a healthcare dynamic model for personalized healthcare delivery and managed individual health outcomes. It utilizes a hetero-functional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-19 Inas S. Khayal , Amro M. Farid

With a large number of baseline covariates, we propose a new semi-parametric modeling strategy for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation and individualized treatment selection, which are two major goals in personalized medicine. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Wenchuan Guo , Xiao-hua Zhou , Shujie Ma

We propose a new, flexible model for inference of the effect of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome observed over subsequent time periods. The model allows to seperate association due to endogeneity of treatment selection from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Helga Wagner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Liana Jacobi

Stress can be seen as a physiological response to everyday emotional, mental and physical challenges. A long-term exposure to stressful situations can have negative health consequences, such as increased risk of cardiovascular diseases and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Aaqib Saeed , Stojan Trajanovski

Effect modification occurs when the impact of the treatment on an outcome varies based on the levels of other covariates known as effect modifiers. Modeling these effect differences is important for etiological goals and for purposes of…