English
Related papers

Related papers: Performative Prediction: Past and Future

200 papers

Fame, popularity and celebrity status, frequently used tokens of success, are often loosely related to, or even divorced from professional performance. This dichotomy is partly rooted in the difficulty to distinguish performance, an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-04 Burcu Yucesoy , Albert-László Barabási

The definition and implementation of fairness in automated decisions has been extensively studied by the research community. Yet, there hides fallacious reasoning, misleading assertions, and questionable practices at the foundations of the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Robert Lee Poe , Soumia Zohra El Mestari

The paradigm of pretrained deep learning models has recently emerged in artificial intelligence practice, allowing deployment in numerous societal settings with limited computational resources, but also embedding biases and enabling…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Lav R. Varshney , Nitish Shirish Keskar , Richard Socher

ML models deployed in production often have to face unknown domain changes, fundamentally different from their training settings. Performance prediction models carry out the crucial task of measuring the impact of these changes on model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Simona Maggio , Victor Bouvier , Léo Dreyfus-Schmidt

Recent studies have analyzed whether one forecast method dominates another under a class of consistent scoring functions. While the existing literature focuses on empirical tests of forecast dominance, little is known about the theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-19 Fabian Krüger , Johanna F. Ziegel

Transfer learning is a powerful technique for knowledge-sharing between different tasks. Recent work has found that the representations of models with certain invariances, such as to adversarial input perturbations, achieve higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Till Speicher , Vedant Nanda , Krishna P. Gummadi

It is tempting to think that machines are less prone to unfairness and prejudice. However, machine learning approaches compute their outputs based on data. While biases can enter at any stage of the development pipeline, models are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Patrick Esser , Robin Rombach , Björn Ommer

Science consists on conceiving hypotheses, confronting them with empirical evidence, and keeping only hypotheses which have not yet been falsified. Under deductive reasoning they are conceived in view of a theory and confronted with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Diego Marcondes , Adilson Simonis , Junior Barrera

With the widespread deployment of deep learning models, they influence their environment in various ways. The induced distribution shifts can lead to unexpected performance degradation in deployed models. Existing methods to anticipate…

Machine learning algorithms have achieved superhuman performance in specific complex domains. However, learning online from few examples and compositional learning for efficient generalization across domains remain elusive. In humans, such…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-11 V. A. Aksyuk

In most real-world applications of artificial intelligence, the distributions of the data and the goals of the learners tend to change over time. The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning framework, which underpins most machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Yuxin Bai , Cecelia Shuai , Ashwin De Silva , Siyu Yu , Pratik Chaudhari , Joshua T. Vogelstein

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

Humans and animals have a rich and flexible understanding of the physical world, which enables them to infer the underlying dynamical trajectories of objects and events, plausible future states, and use that to plan and anticipate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Aran Nayebi , Rishi Rajalingham , Mehrdad Jazayeri , Guangyu Robert Yang

In recent years, machine learning techniques have been increasingly applied in sensitive decision making processes, raising fairness concerns. Past research has shown that machine learning may reproduce and even exacerbate human bias due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Benjamin Paaßen , Astrid Bunge , Carolin Hainke , Leon Sindelar , Matthias Vogelsang

In high-stake domains such as healthcare and hiring, the role of machine learning (ML) in decision-making raises significant fairness concerns. This work focuses on Counterfactual Fairness (CF), which posits that an ML model's outcome on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Zeyu Zhou , Tianci Liu , Ruqi Bai , Jing Gao , Murat Kocaoglu , David I. Inouye

Classification is one of the widely used analytical techniques in data science domain across different business to associate a pattern which contribute to the occurrence of certain event which is predicted with some likelihood. This Paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-28 Kumarjit Pathak , Jitin Kapila , Aasheesh Barvey

Prediction markets show considerable promise for developing flexible mechanisms for machine learning. Here, machine learning markets for multivariate systems are defined, and a utility-based framework is established for their analysis. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Amos Storkey

Optimizing resource allocation with predicted information has shown promising gain in boosting network performance and improving user experience. Earlier research efforts focus on optimizing proactive policies under the assumption of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-20 Jiajun Wu , Chengjian Sun , Chenyang Yang

Machine learning models are often evaluated using point estimates of performance metrics such as accuracy, F1 score, or mean squared error. Such summaries fail to capture the inherent variability induced by stochastic elements of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Christoph Lehmann , Yahor Paromau

Uncertainty pervades through the modern robotic autonomy stack, with nearly every component (e.g., sensors, detection, classification, tracking, behavior prediction) producing continuous or discrete probabilistic distributions. Trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Boris Ivanovic , Yifeng Lin , Shubham Shrivastava , Punarjay Chakravarty , Marco Pavone