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Earlier meta-analyses of the economic impact of climate change are updated with more data, with three new results: (1) The central estimate of the economic impact of global warming is always negative. (2) The confidence interval about the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-30 Richard S. J. Tol

I propose a new conceptual framework to disentangle the impacts of weather and climate on economic activity and growth: A stochastic frontier model with climate in the production frontier and weather shocks as a source of inefficiency. I…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-07 Richard S. J. Tol

Agricultural research has fostered productivity growth, but the historical influence of anthropogenic climate change on that growth has not been quantified. We develop a robust econometric model of weather effects on global agricultural…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-05 Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Toby R. Ault , Carlos M. Carrillo , Robert G. Chambers , David B. Lobell

We study the distributional implications of uncertainty shocks by developing a model that links macroeconomic aggregates to the US distribution of earnings and consumption. We find that: initially, the fraction of low-earning workers…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-20 Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Tommaso Tornese

Estimating the effects of climate on economic output is crucial for formulating climate policy, but current empirical findings remain ambiguous. Using annual panel model and panel long-difference model with global subnational data from…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-26 Jinchi Dong , Richard S. J. Tol , Jinnan Wang

Feeding a larger and wealthier global population without transgressing ecological limits is increasingly challenging, as rising food demand (especially for animal products) intensifies pressure on ecosystems, accelerates deforestation, and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-17 Moretti Elia , Loreau Michel , Benzaquen Michael

The economic impacts of climate change are highly uncertain. Two of the most important uncertainties are the sensitivity of the climate system and the so-called damage functions, which relate climate change to economic damages and benefits.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-24 Jenny Bjordal , Trude Storelvmo , Anthony A. Smith

Climate (change) affects the prices of goods and services in different countries or regions differently. Simply relying on aggregate measures or summary statistics, such as the impact of average country temperature changes on HICP headline…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-09 Paulo M. M. Rodrigues , Mirjam Salish , Nazarii Salish

The United Nations has identified improving food security and reducing hunger as essential components of its sustainable development goals. As of 2021, approximately 828 million people worldwide are experiencing hunger and malnutrition,…

The agricultural sector is particularly susceptible to the impact of climate change. In this paper, I investigate how vulnerability to climate change affects U.S. farms' credit access, and demonstrates that such impact is unequally…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-01 Teng Liu

This study investigates the long-term effects of temperature variations on economic growth using a data-driven approach. Leveraging machine learning techniques, we analyze global land surface temperature data from Berkeley Earth and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-15 Eugene Kharitonov , Oksana Zakharchuk , Lin Mei

Previously, in underdeveloped countries, people tried to keep the prices of food products artificially low, in order to help the poor to buy their food. But it became soon clear that such system, although helpful for the city poor, was…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-15 Andrea C. Levi , Ubaldo Garibaldi

Agriculture is crucial in sustaining human life and civilization that relies heavily on natural resources. This industry faces new challenges, such as climate change, a growing global population, and new models for managing food security…

Mapping pathways to achieving the sustainable development goals requires understanding and predicting how social, economic and political factors impact biodiversity. Trends in demography, economic growth, regional alliances and consumption…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-26 Payal Bal , Simon Kapitza , Natasha Cadenhead , Tom Kompas , Pham Van Ha , Brendan Wintle

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

This study constructs a novel analytical general equilibrium model to compare environmental policies in a setting where oligopolistic energy firms engage in third-degree price discrimination across residential consumers and industrial…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-07 Tengjiao Chen , Daniel H. Karney

The complex interplay between famine, warfare, and climate constitutes a multifaceted and context-dependent relationship that has profoundly influenced human history, particularly in early modern Europe. This study advances the literature…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-11 Emile Esmaili , Michael J. Puma , Francis Ludlow , Eva Jobbova

This paper examines how subsistence farmers respond to extreme heat. Using micro-data from Peruvian households, we find that high temperatures reduce agricultural productivity, increase area planted, and change crop mix. These findings are…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-01 Fernando M. Aragón , Francisco Oteiza , Juan Pablo Rud

Humanity's progress in combating hunger, poverty, and child mortality is marred by escalating environmental degradation due to rising greenhouse gas emissions and climate change impacts. Despite positive developments, ecosystems are…

The concept of sustainable intensification in agriculture necessitates the implementation of management practices that prioritize sustainability without compromising productivity. However, the effects of such practices are known to depend…

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