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Uncertainty in machine learning is not generally taught as general knowledge in Machine Learning course curricula. In this paper we propose a short curriculum for a course about uncertainty in machine learning, and complement the course…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Deep learning has had remarkable success in robotic perception, but its data-centric nature suffers when it comes to generalizing to ever-changing environments. By contrast, physics-based optimization generalizes better, but it does not…

We present PyTorch Geometric Temporal a deep learning framework combining state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms for neural spatiotemporal signal processing. The main goal of the library is to make temporal geometric deep learning…

Recent years have witnessed the booming of various differentiable optimization algorithms. These algorithms exhibit different execution patterns, and their execution needs massive computational resources that go beyond a single CPU and GPU.…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Jie Ren , Xidong Feng , Bo Liu , Xuehai Pan , Yao Fu , Luo Mai , Yaodong Yang

This paper introduces torchsom, an open-source Python library that provides a reference implementation of the Self-Organizing Map (SOM) in PyTorch. This package offers three main features: (i) dimensionality reduction, (ii) clustering, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-14 Louis Berthier , Ahmed Shokry , Maxime Moreaud , Guillaume Ramelet , Eric Moulines

We present Fortuna, an open-source library for uncertainty quantification in deep learning. Fortuna supports a range of calibration techniques, such as conformal prediction that can be applied to any trained neural network to generate…

PyTorch has ascended as a premier machine learning framework, yet it lacks a native and comprehensive library for decision and control tasks suitable for large development teams dealing with complex real-world data and environments. To…

Modern time series analysis demands frameworks that are flexible, efficient, and extensible. However, many existing Python libraries exhibit limitations in modularity and in their native support for irregular, multi-source, or sparse data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Zhijin Wang , Senzhen Wu , Yue Hu , Xiufeng Liu

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Generation and analysis of time-series data is relevant to many quantitative fields ranging from economics to fluid mechanics. In the physical sciences, structures such as metastable and coherent sets, slow relaxation processes, collective…

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Learning continually from non-stationary data streams is a long-standing goal and a challenging problem in machine learning. Recently, we have witnessed a renewed and fast-growing interest in continual learning, especially within the deep…

Contrastive approaches to representation learning have recently shown great promise. In contrast to generative approaches, these contrastive models learn a deterministic encoder with no notion of uncertainty or confidence. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Mike Wu , Noah Goodman

Deep Learning is becoming an increasingly important way to produce accurate hydrological predictions across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Uncertainty estimations are critical for actionable hydrological forecasting, and while…

This tutorial aims to provide an intuitive introduction to Gaussian process regression (GPR). GPR models have been widely used in machine learning applications due to their representation flexibility and inherent capability to quantify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Jie Wang

Robust quantification of predictive uncertainty is critical for understanding factors that drive weather and climate outcomes. Ensembles provide predictive uncertainty estimates and can be decomposed physically, but both physics and machine…

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) serve as a powerful framework for modeling complex systems with uncertainty and extracting valuable insights from data. However, users face challenges when applying PGMs to their problems in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Jiantong Jiang , Zeyi Wen , Peiyu Yang , Atif Mansoor , Ajmal Mian

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

Planning robust robot manipulation requires good forward models that enable robust plans to be found. This work shows how to achieve this using a forward model learned from robot data to plan push manipulations. We explore learning methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Ermano Arruda , Michael J Mathew , Marek Kopicki , Michael Mistry , Morteza Azad , Jeremy L Wyatt

This paper introduces CUQIpy, a versatile open-source Python package for computational uncertainty quantification (UQ) in inverse problems, presented as Part I of a two-part series. CUQIpy employs a Bayesian framework, integrating prior…