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Operational decisions relying on predictive distributions of electricity prices can result in significantly higher profits compared to those based solely on point forecasts. However, the majority of models developed in both academic and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

We present a novel approach to probabilistic electricity price forecasting which utilizes distributional neural networks. The model structure is based on a deep neural network that contains a so-called probability layer. The network's…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Michał Narajewski , Rafał Weron , Florian Ziel

The significant imbalance between power generation and load caused by severe disturbance may make the power system unable to maintain a steady frequency. If the post-disturbance dynamic frequency features can be predicted and emergency…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-23 Jintian Lin , Yichao Zhang , Xiaoru Wang , Qingyue Chen

In this paper we present a regression based model for day-ahead electricity spot prices. We estimate the considered linear regression model by the lasso estimation method. The lasso approach allows for many possible parameters in the model,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Florian Ziel

The aim of this paper is to compute one-day-ahead prediction regions for daily curves of electricity demand and price. Three model-based procedures to construct general prediction regions are proposed, all of them using bootstrap…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Rebeca Peláez , Germán Aneiros , Juan Vilar

As a result of increasing population and globalization, the demand for energy has greatly risen. Therefore, accurate energy consumption forecasting has become an essential prerequisite for government planning, reducing power wastage and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Muhammad Bilal , Hyeok Kim , Muhammad Fayaz , Pravin Pawar

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

Power management is an expensive and important issue for large computational infrastructures such as datacenters, large clusters, and computational grids. However, measuring energy consumption of scalable systems may be impractical due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-20 Lucas Venezian Povoa , Cesar Marcondes , Hermes Senger

This study proposes a novel framework for long-term electricity demand prediction based solely on historical consumption data, without relying on external variables such as temperature or economic indicators. The method combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Toma Masaki , Kanta Tachibana

Electricity prices strongly depend on seasonality of different time scales, therefore any forecasting of electricity prices has to account for it. Neural networks have proven successful in short-term price-forecasting, but complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-03 Andreas Wagner , Enislay Ramentol , Florian Schirra , Hendrik Michaeli

This paper aims to propose a two-step approach for day-ahead hourly scheduling in a distribution system operation, which contains two operation costs, the operation cost at substation level and feeder level. In the first step, the objective…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-30 Yi Gu , Huaiguang Jiang , Jun Jason Zhang , Yingchen Zhang , Eduard Muljadi , Francisco J. Solis

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

The goal of this work is to reduce driver's range anxiety by estimating the real-time energy consumption of electric vehicles using deep convolutional neural network. The real-time estimate can be used to accurately predict the remaining…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-27 Shatrughan Modi , Jhilik Bhattacharya , Prasenjit Basak

The accuracy of the household electricity consumption forecast is vital in taking better cost effective and energy efficient decisions. In order to design accurate, proper and efficient forecasting model, characteristics of the series have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-20 T. O. Benli

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Accurate predictions of electricity demands are necessary for managing operations in a small aggregation load setting like a Microgrid. Due to low aggregation, the electricity demands can be highly stochastic and point estimates would lead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Rohit Dube , Natarajan Gautam , Amarnath Banerjee , Harsha Nagarajan

Long-term sensor network deployments demand careful power management. While managing power requires understanding the amount of energy harvestable from the local environment, current solar prediction methods rely only on recent local…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Elizabeth Basha , Raja Jurdak , Daniela Rus

In this paper, we consider the problem of developing predictive models with limited data for energy assets such as electricity loads, PV power generations, etc. We specifically investigate the cases where the amount of historical data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Ali Hooshmand , Ratnesh Sharma

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu