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Persistent monitoring of a spatiotemporal fluid process requires data sampling and predictive modeling of the process being monitored. In this paper we present PASST algorithm: Predictive-model based Adaptive Sampling of a Spatio-Temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Sandeep Manjanna , Tom Z. Jiahao , M. Ani Hsieh

We consider the use of decision trees for decision-making problems under the predict-then-optimize framework. That is, we would like to first use a decision tree to predict unknown input parameters of an optimization problem, and then make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang , Ryan McNellis

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

In this paper, we propose ShapTST, a framework that enables time-series transformers to efficiently generate Shapley-value-based explanations alongside predictions in a single forward pass. Shapley values are widely used to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Qisen Cheng , Jinming Xing , Chang Xue , Xiaoran Yang

Time series prediction with deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs), have scored significant achievements in recent years. Despite the fact that the LSTMs can help to capture long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Youru Li , Zhenfeng Zhu , Deqiang Kong , Hua Han , Yao Zhao

Event time models predict occurrence times of an event of interest based on known features. Recent work has demonstrated that neural networks achieve state-of-the-art event time predictions in a variety of settings. However, standard event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-06 Matthew Engelhard , Samuel Berchuck , Joshua D'Arcy , Ricardo Henao

Stock trend forecasting, aiming at predicting the stock future trends, is crucial for investors to seek maximized profits from the stock market. Many event-driven methods utilized the events extracted from news, social media, and discussion…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-22 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Chang Xu , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) data is organized in multiple levels (per-subject, per-day, etc.) and this particular structure should be taken into account in machine learning algorithms used in EMA like decision trees and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-07 Gerasimos Spanakis , Gerhard Weiss , Anne Roefs

Deep neural networks for machine comprehension typically utilizes only word or character embeddings without explicitly taking advantage of structured linguistic information such as constituency trees and dependency trees. In this paper, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-09-04 Rui Liu , Junjie Hu , Wei Wei , Zi Yang , Eric Nyberg

Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

This paper proposes a novel and interpretable recurrent neural-network structure using the echo-state network (ESN) paradigm for time-series prediction. While the traditional ESNs perform well for dynamical systems prediction, it needs a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Debdipta Goswami

Forecasting rare events in multivariate time-series data is challenging due to severe class imbalance, long-range dependencies, and distributional uncertainty. We introduce EVEREST, a transformer-based architecture for probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Antanas Zilinskas , Robert N. Shorten , Jakub Marecek

This paper proposes an unsupervised address event representation (AER) object recognition approach. The proposed approach consists of a novel multiscale spatio-temporal feature (MuST) representation of input AER events and a spiking neural…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Qianhui Liu , Gang Pan , Haibo Ruan , Dong Xing , Qi Xu , Huajin Tang

Expectation propagation (EP) is a deterministic approximation algorithm that is often used to perform approximate Bayesian parameter learning. EP approximates the full intractable posterior distribution through a set of local approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-19 Yingzhen Li , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato , Richard E. Turner

Using a new probabilistic approach we model the relationship between sequences of auditory stimuli generated by stochastic chains and the electroencephalographic (EEG) data acquired while 19 participants were exposed to those stimuli. The…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-23 Noslen Hernández , Aline Duarte , Guilherme Ost , Ricardo Fraiman , Antonio Galves , Claudia D. Vargas

Emergent-scene safety is the key milestone for fully autonomous driving, and reliable on-time prediction is essential to maintain safety in emergency scenarios. However, these emergency scenarios are long-tailed and hard to collect, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Dingrui Wang , Zheyuan Lai , Yuda Li , Yi Wu , Yuexin Ma , Johannes Betz , Ruigang Yang , Wei Li

Traffic forecasting, a crucial application of spatio-temporal graph (STG) learning, has traditionally relied on deterministic models for accurate point estimations. Yet, these models fall short of quantifying future uncertainties. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Lequan Lin , Dai Shi , Andi Han , Junbin Gao

Despite remarkable technological advances, AI systems may still benefit from biological principles, such as recurrent connectivity and energy-efficient mechanisms. Drawing inspiration from the brain, we present a biologically plausible…

Electroencephalography (EEG) during sleep is used by clinicians to evaluate various neurological disorders. In sleep medicine, it is relevant to detect macro-events (> 10s) such as sleep stages, and micro-events (<2s) such as spindles and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-17 Stanislas Chambon , Valentin Thorey , Pierrick J. Arnal , Emmanuel Mignot , Alexandre Gramfort

Pretext training followed by task-specific fine-tuning has been a successful approach in vision and language domains. This paper proposes a self-supervised pretext training framework tailored to event sequence data. We introduce a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Yimu Wang , He Zhao , Ruizhi Deng , Frederick Tung , Greg Mori