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We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Bert Zwart

A $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk ($\delta$-ORRW) on connected graph is a self-interacting random walk which moves to its neighbors at each step according to the weights of the edges at that time, where the weights are $1$ on edges…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang

Consider a symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process with $\alpha\in (1,2)$. We study shifted small ball probabilities for these processes in the uniform topology, when the shift function is an arbitrary continuous function which starts at…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-30 Elena Shmileva

The Ruelle thermodynamic formalism for dynamical trajectories over the large time $T$ corresponds to the large deviation theory for the information per unit time of the trajectories probabilities. The microcanonical analysis consists in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-24 Cecile Monthus

We consider a non-stationary Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We establish a sharp large deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of its drift parameter.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 marie du Roy de Chaumaray

We first rephrase and unify known bijections between bipartite plane maps and labelled trees with the formalism of looptrees, which we argue to be both more relevant and technically simpler since the geometry of a looptree is explicitly…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-18 Cyril Marzouk

What does an Erdos-Renyi graph look like when a rare event happens? This paper answers this question when p is fixed and n tends to infinity by establishing a large deviation principle under an appropriate topology. The formulation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-05 Sourav Chatterjee , S. R. S. Varadhan

We devise an abstract, modular scheme to prove continuity of the Lyapunov exponents for a general class of linear cocycles. The main assumption is the availability of appropriate large deviation type (LDT) estimates which are uniform in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

We develop a general construction for nonlinear L\'evy processes with given characteristics. More precisely, given a set $\Theta$ of L\'evy triplets, we construct a sublinear expectation on Skorohod space under which the canonical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Ariel Neufeld , Marcel Nutz

We continue the investigation of the spectral theory and exponential asymptotics of Markov processes, following Kontoyiannis and Meyn (2003). We introduce a new family of nonlinear Lyapunov drift criteria, characterizing distinct subclasses…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn

Given discrete time observations over a growing time interval, we consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the L\'evy density of a L\'evy process belonging to a flexible class of infinite activity subordinators. Posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

Rare events in stochastic processes with heavy-tailed distributions are controlled by the big jump principle, which states that a rare large fluctuation is produced by a single event and not by an accumulation of coherent small deviations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-13 Raffaella Burioni , Alessandro Vezzani

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

We derive subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum of a compound renewal process with linear component and of a L\'evy process, both with negative drift, over random time horizon $\tau$ that does not depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a join-the-shortest-queue model which is as follows. There are $K$ single FIFO servers and $M$ arrival processes. The customers from a given arrival process can be served only by servers from a certain subset of all servers. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii , Alexander A. Vladimirov

A Levy walk is a non-Markovian stochastic process in which the elementary steps of the walker consist of motion with constant speed in randomly chosen directions and for a random period of time. The time of flight is chosen from a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-08-27 Abhishek Dhar , Keiji Saito

For a L\'evy process $X$ on a finite time interval consider the probability that it exceeds some fixed threshold $x>0$ while staying below $x$ at the points of a regular grid. We establish exact asymptotic behavior of this probability as…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Krzysztof Bisewski , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We derive an annealed large deviation principle for the normalised local times of a continuous-time random walk among random conductances in a finite domain in $\Z^d$ in the spirit of Donsker-Varadhan \cite{DV75}. We work in the interesting…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Wolfgang König , Michele Salvi , Tilman Wolff

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart