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Real-world non-autonomous systems are open, out-of-equilibrium systems that evolve in and are driven by temporally varying environments. Such systems can show multiple timescale and transient dynamics together with transitions to very…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-12 Klaus Lehnertz

Anomaly detection in complex, high-dimensional data, such as UAV sensor readings, is essential for operational safety but challenging for existing methods due to their limited sensitivity, scalability, and inability to capture intricate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Mingze Gong , Juan Du , Jianbang You

Identification of a linear time-invariant dynamical system from partial observations is a fundamental problem in control theory. Particularly challenging are systems exhibiting long-term memory. A natural question is how learn such systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Holden Lee

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

Pre-training on time series poses a unique challenge due to the potential mismatch between pre-training and target domains, such as shifts in temporal dynamics, fast-evolving trends, and long-range and short-cyclic effects, which can lead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Xiang Zhang , Ziyuan Zhao , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

Robust causal discovery in time series datasets depends on reliable benchmark datasets with known ground-truth causal relationships. However, such datasets remain scarce, and existing synthetic alternatives often overlook critical temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

Trend filtering simplifies complex time series data by applying smoothness to filter out noise while emphasizing proximity to the original data. However, existing trend filtering methods fail to reflect abrupt changes in the trend due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jihyeon Seong , Sekwang Oh , Jaesik Choi

Detecting anomalies in temporal data has gained significant attention across various real-world applications, aiming to identify unusual events and mitigate potential hazards. In practice, situations often involve a mix of segment-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Yaxuan Wang , Hao Cheng , Jing Xiong , Qingsong Wen , Han Jia , Ruixuan Song , Liyuan Zhang , Zhaowei Zhu , Yang Liu

We consider the problem of estimating the state transition matrix of a linear time-invariant (LTI) system, given access to multiple independent trajectories sampled from the system. Several recent papers have conducted a non-asymptotic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-29 Vinay Kanakeri , Aritra Mitra

In this paper we study the reachability problem for discrete-time nonlinear stochastic systems. Our goal is to present a unified framework for calculating the probabilistic reachable set of discrete-time systems in the presence of both…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Zishun Liu , Saber Jafarpour , Yongxin Chen

Time-series anomaly detection is critical for ensuring safety in high-stakes applications, where robustness is a fundamental requirement rather than a mere performance metric. Addressing the vulnerability of these systems to adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Shijie Liu , Tansu Alpcan , Christopher Leckie , Sarah Erfani

Quantitative analysis of the dynamics of tiny cellular and sub-cellular structures, known as particles, in time-lapse cell microscopy sequences requires the development of a reliable multi-target tracking method capable of tracking numerous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Seyed Hamid Rezatofighi , Stephen Gould , Ba Tuong Vo , Ba-Ngu Vo , Katarina Mele , Richard Hartley

This paper addresses the classical problem of determining the set of possible states of a linear discrete-time system subject to bounded disturbances from measurements corrupted by bounded noise. These so-called uncertainty sets evolve with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Robin Hill , Yousong Luo , Uwe Schwerdtfeger

Several techniques for multivariate time series anomaly detection have been proposed recently, but a systematic comparison on a common set of datasets and metrics is lacking. This paper presents a systematic and comprehensive evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Astha Garg , Wenyu Zhang , Jules Samaran , Savitha Ramasamy , Chuan-Sheng Foo

Accident anticipation is essential for proactive and safe autonomous driving, where even a brief advance warning can enable critical evasive actions. However, two key challenges hinder real-world deployment: (1) noisy or degraded sensory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Xingcheng Liu , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Chengyue Wang , Haicheng Liao , Jiaxun Zhang , Chengyu Lin , Meixin Zhu , Zhenning Li

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

Stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in physics, biology, and engineering, where both deterministic drifts and random fluctuations govern system behavior. Learning these dynamics from data is particularly challenging in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ziheng Guo , Igor Cialenco , Ming Zhong

We consider the noise-induced transitions in the randomly perturbed discrete logistic map from a linearly stable periodic orbit consisting of T periodic points. The traditional large deviation theory and asymptotic analysis for small noise…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-04-20 Yu Cao , Ling Lin , Xiang Zhou

A deterministic dynamical system that slowly passes through a generic fold-type (saddle-node) bifurcation can be reduced to one-dimensional dynamics close to the bifurcation because of the centre manifold theorem. It is often tacitly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Andreas Morr , Niklas Boers , Peter Ashwin

Time series are high-dimensional and complex data objects, making their efficient search and indexing a longstanding challenge in data mining. Building on a recently introduced similarity measure, namely Multiscale Dubuc Distance (MDD),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Azim Ahmadzadeh , Mahsa Khazaei , Elaina Rohlfing