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We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the finite-dimensional distributions and asymptotic behavior of extremal Markov processes connected to the Kendall convolution. In particular, based on its stochastic representation, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Barbara Jasiulis-Gołdyn , Edward Omey

This paper investigates the problem of tracking solutions of stochastic optimization problems with time-varying costs that depend on random variables with decision-dependent distributions. In this context, we propose the use of an online…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Killian Wood , Gianluca Bianchin , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations can be used to compute the likelihood of extreme or rare events in stochastic dynamical systems via the solution of an optimization problem. The approach gives exponential estimates that often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-17 Tobias Grafke , Tobias Schäfer , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Continuous-time stochastic processes play an important role in the description of random phenomena, it is therefore of prime interest to study particular variables depending on their paths, like stopping time for example. One approach…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

We develop a path-based approach to continuous-time random walks on networks with arbitrarily weighted edges. We describe an efficient numerical algorithm for calculating statistical properties of the stochastic path ensemble. After…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-19 Michael Manhart , Alexandre V. Morozov

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

Motivated by novel results in the theory of complex adaptive systems, we analyze the dynamics of random walks in which the jumping probabilities are {\it time-dependent}. We determine the survival probability in the presence of an absorbing…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Shahar Hod

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

This paper presents a Newton-based stochastic extremum-seeking control method for real-time optimization in multi-input systems with distinct input delays. It combines predictor-based feedback and Hessian inverse estimation via stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Paulo Cesar Souza Silva , Paulo Cesar Pellanda , Tiago Roux Oliveira

We propose a method for zeroth order stochastic convex optimization that attains the suboptimality rate of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(n^{7}T^{-1/2})$ after $T$ queries for a convex bounded function $f:{\mathbb R}^n\to{\mathbb R}$. The method is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-13 Tengyuan Liang , Hariharan Narayanan , Alexander Rakhlin

This paper considers optimal control of dynamical systems which are represented by nonlinear stochastic differential equations. It is well-known that the optimal control policy for this problem can be obtained as a function of a value…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Oktay Arslan , Evangelos Theodorou , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Optimization problems with continuous data appear in, e.g., robust machine learning, functional data analysis, and variational inference. Here, the target function is given as an integral over a family of (continuously) indexed target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Kexin Jin , Jonas Latz , Chenguang Liu , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

We study the biased random walk process in random uncorrelated networks with arbitrary degree distributions. In our model, the bias is defined by the preferential transition probability, which, in recent years, has been commonly used to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-05-29 Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

We develop and generalize the theory of extreme value for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. We apply our results to non-autonomous dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

Motivated by the psychological literature on the "peak-end rule" for remembered experience, we perform an analysis within a random walk framework of a discrete choice model where agents' future choices depend on the peak memory of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-01 Rosemary J. Harris

We consider an optimal control problem for piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) on a bounded state space. The control problem under study is very general: a pair of controls acts continuously on the deterministic flow and on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Elena Bandini

In this study, we address the central issue of statistical inference for Markov jump processes using discrete time observations. The primary problem at hand is to accurately estimate the infinitesimal generator of a Markov jump process, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-19 F. Baltazar-Larios , Luz Judith R. Esparza

The discrete stochastic dynamics of a random walker in the presence of resetting and memory is analyzed. Resetting and memory effects may compete for certain parameter regime and lead to significant changes in the long time dynamics of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-15 Upendra Harbola
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