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In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Yousef El-Laham , Zhongchang Sun , Haibei Zhu , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko

In this paper, we study the numerical method for solving forward-backward stochastic differential equations driven by $G$-Brownian motion ($G$-FBSDEs) which correspond to fully nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). First, we give…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Mingshang Hu , Lianzi Jiang

Latent stochastic differential equation (SDE) models are important tools for the unsupervised discovery of dynamical systems from data, with applications ranging from engineering to neuroscience. In these complex domains, exact posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Amber Hu , Henry Smith , Scott Linderman

Traditional partial differential equations with constant coefficients often struggle to capture abrupt changes in real-world phenomena, leading to the development of variable coefficient PDEs and Markovian switching models. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-02 Yi Zhang , Zhikun Zhang , Xiangjun Wang

We introduce a foundational model for brain dynamics that utilizes stochastic optimal control (SOC) and amortized inference. Our method features a continuous-discrete state space model (SSM) that can robustly handle the intricate and noisy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Joonhyeong Park , Byoungwoo Park , Chang-Bae Bang , Jungwon Choi , Hyungjin Chung , Byung-Hoon Kim , Juho Lee

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

In this paper we present a new method for the construction of strong solutions of SDE's with merely integrable drift coefficients driven by a multidimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H < 1/2. Furthermore, we prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 David Baños , Torstein Nilssen , Frank Proske

This work develops a comprehensive mathematical theory for a class of stochastic processes whose local regularity adapts dynamically in response to their own state. We first introduce and rigorously analyze a time-varying fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Jiahao Jiang

In this article, we introduce and analyze a deep learning based approximation algorithm for SPDEs. Our approach employs neural networks to approximate the solutions of SPDEs along given realizations of the driving noise process. If applied…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Christian Beck , Sebastian Becker , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen , Ariel Neufeld

In this paper, we study a conditional distribution dependent stochastic differential equations driven by standard Brownian motion and fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent $H>\frac{1}{2}$ simultaneously. First, the existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Li Tan , Shengrong Wang

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

The analysis of local minima in time series data and random landscapes is essential across numerous scientific disciplines, offering critical insights into system dynamics. Recently, Kundu, Majumdar, and Schehr derived the exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-19 Maxim Dolgushev , Olivier Bénichou

We study solutions to backward differential equations that are driven hybridly by a deterministic discontinuous rough path $W$ of finite $q$-variation for $q \in [1, 2)$ and by Brownian motion $B$. To distinguish between integration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Dirk Becherer , Yuchen Sun

We show existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for SDE of the form \[ dX_t = g(X_t)dt + u(X_t)dt + dW^H_t \] where $W^H$ is a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H\in (0,\frac{1}{2})$, $u$ is a linearly dispersive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Avi Mayorcas , Łukasz Mądry

We investigate the problem of nonparametric estimation of the trend for stochastic differential equations with delay and driven by a fractional Brownian motion through the method of kernel-type estimation for the estimation of a probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-09 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Approximate inference in Bayesian deep networks exhibits a dilemma of how to yield high fidelity posterior approximations while maintaining computational efficiency and scalability. We tackle this challenge by introducing a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Son Nguyen , Duong Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Khoat Than , Hung Bui , Nhat Ho

Learning continuous-time stochastic dynamics is a fundamental and essential problem in modeling sporadic time series, whose observations are irregular and sparse in both time and dimension. For a given system whose latent states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Yingru Liu , Yucheng Xing , Xuewen Yang , Xin Wang , Jing Shi , Di Jin , Zhaoyue Chen

We present a Bayesian inference scheme for scaled Brownian motion, and investigate its performance on synthetic data for parameter estimation and model selection in a combined inference with fractional Brownian motion. We include the…

We propose a sparse grid stochastic collocation method for long-time simulations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by white noise. The method uses pre-determined sparse quadrature rules for the forcing term and constructs…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-13 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) provides probabilistic solutions for a class of parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs). DeepBSDE and FBSNN are two deep learning approaches for solving high-dimensional PDEs through…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Zhao Zhang , Zhuopeng Hou