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Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

When the dynamical data of a system only convey dynamic information over a limited operating range, the identification of models with good performance over a wider operating range is very unlikely. Nevertheless, models with such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-07 Leandro Freitas , Bruno H. G. Barbosa , Luis A. Aguirre

A new approach for the analysis of nonstationary signals is proposed, with a focus on audio applications. Following earlier contributions, nonstationarity is modeled via stationarity-breaking operators acting on Gaussian stationary random…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-24 Adrien Meynard , Bruno Torrésani

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Zeda Li , Ori Rosen , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert T. Krafty

Deep learning-based sequence models are extensively employed in Time Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD) tasks due to their effective sequential modeling capabilities. However, the ability of TSAD is limited by two key challenges: (i) the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Junqi Chen , Xu Tan , Sylwan Rahardja , Jiawei Yang , Susanto Rahardja

Time series in energy systems, such as solar irradiance, wind speed, or electrical load, are characterized by strong diurnal and seasonal periodicities. Accurate forecasting requires accounting for time varying statistical properties that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-28 Cyril Voyant , Candice Banes , Luis Garcia-Gutierrez , Gilles Notton , Milan Despotovic , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

The problem of time-series clustering is considered in the case where each data-point is a sample generated by a piecewise stationary ergodic process. Stationary processes are perhaps the most general class of processes considered in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-27 Azadeh Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

We apply parallel approaches in the study of continuous spectra to adiabatic stellar models. We seek continuum eigenmodes for the LAWE formulated as both finite difference and linear differential equations. In particular, we apply methods…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-11-03 Christopher J. Winfield

The condition of parameter identifiability is essential for the consistency of all estimators and is often challenging to prove. As a consequence, this condition is often assumed for simplicity although this may not be straightforward to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-21 Stéphane Guerrier , Roberto Molinari

Shapelets are phase independent subsequences designed for time series classification. We propose three adaptations to the Shapelet Transform (ST) to capture multivariate features in multivariate time series classification. We create a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Aaron Bostrom , Anthony Bagnall

Accurate classification of sleep stages is crucial for the diagnosis and management of sleep disorders. Conventional approaches for sleep scoring rely on manual annotation or features extracted from EEG signals in the time or frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Mehdi Zekriyapanah Gashti , Ghasem Farjamnia

The shapelet transform is a form of feature extraction for time series, in which a time series is described by its similarity to each of a collection of `shapelets'. However it has previously suffered from a number of limitations, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Patrick Kidger , James Morrill , Terry Lyons

In this paper, we consider the estimation and inference of precision matrices of a rich class of locally stationary and nonlinear time series assuming that only one realization of the time series is observed. Using a Cholesky decomposition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

This paper considers the problem of estimating the population spectral distribution from a sample covariance matrix in large dimensional situations. We generalize the contour-integral based method in Mestre (2008) and present a local moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Weiming Li , Jianfeng Yao

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to multivariate time-varying power spectrum analysis. The procedure adaptively partitions a time series into an unknown number of approximately stationary segments, where some spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-28 Zeda Li , Robert T. Krafty

Symmetric matrix-valued dynamical systems are an important class of systems that can describe important processes such as covariance/second-order moment processes, or processes on manifolds and Lie Groups. We address here the case of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Corentin Briat

We obtain a sharp convergence rate for banded covariance matrix estimates of stationary processes. A precise order of magnitude is derived for spectral radius of sample covariance matrices. We also consider a thresholded covariance matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

Irregularly sampled multivariate time series are ubiquitous in various fields, particularly in healthcare, and exhibit two key characteristics: intra-series irregularity and inter-series discrepancy. Intra-series irregularity refers to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Jiawen Zhang , Shun Zheng , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Jia Li