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When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

In this paper, we consider the Whittle estimator for the parameters of a stationary solution of a continuous-time linear state space model sampled at low frequencies. In our context the driving process is a L\'evy process which allows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

We consider estimation of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Consistency and central limit results are obtained for local linear quantile estimates under a mild short-range dependence condition. Our results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Zhou Zhou , Wei Biao Wu

A method based on wavelet transform and genetic programming is proposed for characterizing and modeling variations at multiple scales in non-stationary time series. The cyclic variations, extracted by wavelets and smoothened by cubic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Dilip P. Ahalpara , Amit Verma , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra C. Parikh

State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis, wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the evolution of the latent states, which govern the values of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

Inspired by the key principle behind the EM algorithm, we propose a general methodology for conducting wavelet estimation with irregularly-spaced data by viewing the data as the observed portion of an augmented regularly-spaced data set. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas C. M. Lee , Xiao-Li Meng

In the present paper, we introduce so-called operator-stable-like processes. Roughly speaking, they behave locally like operator-stable processes, but they need not to be homogenous in space. Having shown existence for this class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Peter Scheffler , Alexander Schnurr , Daniel Schulte

The aim of this paper is to give a wavelet series representation of Linear Multifractional Stable Motion (LMSM in brief), which is more explicit than that introduced in (Ayache & Hamonier 2012). Instead of using Daubechies wavelet, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-23 Julien Hamonier

Spectral methods of moments provide a powerful tool for learning the parameters of latent variable models. Despite their theoretical appeal, the applicability of these methods to real data is still limited due to a lack of robustness to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-18 Matteo Ruffini , Guillaume Rabusseau , Borja Balle

We develop a new methodology for the fitting of nonstationary time series that exhibit nonlinearity, asymmetry, local persistence and changes in location scale and shape of the underlying distribution. In order to achieve this goal, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Alexander Aue , Rex C. Y. Cheung , Thomas C. M. Lee , Ming Zhong

Despite the eminent successes of deep neural networks, many architectures are often hard to transfer to irregularly-sampled and asynchronous time series that commonly occur in real-world datasets, especially in healthcare applications. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Max Horn , Michael Moor , Christian Bock , Bastian Rieck , Karsten Borgwardt

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

In statistical research there usually exists a choice between structurally simpler or more complex models. We argue that, even if a more complex, locally stationary time series model were true, then a simple, stationary time series model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Tobias Kley , Philip Preuß , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Abstract. Detecting anomalies in patterns of sensor data is important in many practical applications, including domestic activity monitoring for Active Assisted Living (AAL). How to represent and analyse these patterns, however, remains a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Manuel Fernandez-Carmona , Sariah Mghames , Nicola Bellotto

An emerging way of tackling the dimensionality issues arising in the modeling of a multivariate process is to assume that the inherent data structure can be captured by a graph. Nevertheless, though state-of-the-art graph-based methods have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin

Irregularly sampled time series (ISTS) data has irregular temporal intervals between observations and different sampling rates between sequences. ISTS commonly appears in healthcare, economics, and geoscience. Especially in the medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Chenxi Sun , Shenda Hong , Moxian Song , Hongyan Li

Irregularly-sampled time series occur in many domains including healthcare. They can be challenging to model because they do not naturally yield a fixed-dimensional representation as required by many standard machine learning models. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Steven Cheng-Xian Li , Benjamin M. Marlin

Inspired by edge detection based on the decay behavior of wavelet coefficients, we introduce a (near) linear-time algorithm for detecting the local regularity in non-uniformly sampled multivariate signals. Our approach quantifies regularity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Sara Avesani , Gianluca Giacchi , Michael Multerer

Impulsive systems are a very flexible class of systems that can be used to represent switched and sampled-data systems. We propose to extend here the previously obtained results on deterministic impulsive systems to the stochastic setting.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Corentin Briat

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler
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