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We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

In this paper, we consider the robust adaptive non parametric estimation problem for the drift coefficient in diffusion processes. An adaptive model selection procedure, based on the improved weighted least square estimates, is proposed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Svyatoslav Perelevskiy , Irina Makarova

We propose nonparametric estimators of the occupation measure and the occupation density of the diffusion coefficient (stochastic volatility) of a discretely observed It\^{o} semimartingale on a fixed interval when the mesh of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Jia Li , Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

We prove a general inequality on $\beta$-mixing coefficients of point processes depending uniquely on their $n$-th order intensity functions. We apply this inequality in the case of determinantal point processes and show that the rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Arnaud Poinas

In this paper, we address high-dimensional parametric estimation of the drift function in diffusion models, specifically focusing on a $d$-dimensional ergodic diffusion process observed at discrete time points. We consider both a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Chiara Amorino , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

We consider a one-dimensional stationary time series of fixed duration $T$. We investigate the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which the process reaches the global maximum within the time interval $[0,T]$. By using a path-decomposition technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

It is, perhaps, surprising that the location of the unique supremum of a stationary process on an interval can fail to be uniformly distributed over that interval. We show that this distribution is absolutely continuous in the interior of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-04 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yi Shen

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

We investigate the approximation and estimation rates of conditional diffusion transformers (DiTs) with classifier-free guidance. We present a comprehensive analysis for ``in-context'' conditional DiTs under four common data assumptions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu , Weimin Wu , Yi-Chen Lee , Yu-Chao Huang , Minshuo Chen , Han Liu

We obtain new transport-entropy inequalities and, as a by-product, new deviation estimates for the laws of two kinds of discrete stochastic approximation schemes. The first one refers to the law of an Euler like discretization scheme of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Max Fathi , Noufel Frikha

We study a general class of elliptic free boundary problems equipped with a Dirichlet boundary condition. Our primary result establishes an optimal $C^{1,1}$-regularity estimate for $L^p$-strong solutions at points where the free and fixed…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Damião J. Araújo , Andreas Minne , Edgard A. Pimentel

We consider the \textsf{Unit Interval Selection} problem in the one-pass random order streaming model. Here, an algorithm is presented a sequence of $n$ unit-length intervals on the line that arrive in uniform random order, and the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Cezar-Mihail Alexandru , Adithya Diddapur , Magnús M. Halldórsson , Christian Konrad , Kheeran K. Naidu

This is an attempt to address diffusion phenomena from the point of view of information theory. We imagine a regular hamiltonian system under the random perturbation of thermal (molecular) noise and chaotic instability. The irregularity of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Qiuping A. Wang

We study the empirical process arising from a multi-dimensional diffusion process with periodic drift and diffusivity. The smoothing properties of the generator of the diffusion are exploited to prove the Donsker property for certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Neil Deo

We establish an explicit rate of convergence for some systems of mean-field interacting diffusions with logistic binary branching towards the solutions of nonlinear evolution equations with non-local self-diffusion and logistic mass growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Joaquín Fontbona , Felipe Muñoz-Hernández

We prove concentration inequalities and associated PAC bounds for continuous- and discrete-time additive functionals for possibly unbounded functions of multivariate, nonreversible diffusion processes. Our analysis relies on an approach via…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

N. Fournier and A. Guillin obtained in their 2015 PTRF paper some bounds of the L^p-mean rate of convergence in Wasserstein distance of empirical distributions for a class of stationary mixing processes. In this paper, we propose to extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

The problem of eliminating fast-relaxing variables to obtain an effective drift-diffusion process in position is solved in a uniform and straightforward way for models with velocity a function jointly of position and fast variables. A more…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-13 Paul E. Lammert

For a fixed $T$ and $k \geq 2$, a $k$-dimensional vector stochastic differential equation $dX_t=\mu(X_t, \theta)dt+\nu(X_t)dW_t,$ is studied over a time interval $[0,T]$. Vector of drift parameters $\theta$ is unknown. The dependence in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Miljenko Huzak , Snježana Lubura Strunjak , Andreja Vlahek Štrok