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In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

This study investigates the application of machine learning algorithms, particularly in the context of pricing American options using Monte Carlo simulations. Traditional models, such as the Black-Scholes-Merton framework, often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Prudence Djagba , Callixte Ndizihiwe

Long-term investors, different from short-term traders, focus on examining the underlying forces that affect the well-being of a company. They rely on fundamental analysis which attempts to measure the intrinsic value an equity.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Jessie Sun

Long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) are used to model US recessions from 1967 to 2021. Their predictive performances are compared to those of the traditional linear models. The out-of-sample performance suggests the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Seulki Chung

In this paper we propose two efficient techniques which allow one to compute the price of American basket options. In particular, we consider a basket of assets that follow a multi-dimensional Black-Scholes dynamics. The proposed…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-20 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

In today's era of big data, deep learning and artificial intelligence have formed the backbone for cryptocurrency portfolio optimization. Researchers have investigated various state of the art machine learning models to predict Bitcoin…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Aniruddha Dutta , Saket Kumar , Meheli Basu

As financial markets grow increasingly complex in the big data era, accurate stock prediction has become more critical. Traditional time series models, such as GRUs, have been widely used but often struggle to capture the intricate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Peng Zhu , Yuante Li , Yifan Hu , Sheng Xiang , Qinyuan Liu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Shapley value is a widely used tool in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), as it provides a principled way to attribute contributions of input features to model outputs. However, estimation of Shapley value requires capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Cheng Lu , Jiusun Zeng , Yu Xia , Jinhui Cai , Shihua Luo

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

The recent advancement of deep learning architectures, neural networks, and the combination of abundant financial data and powerful computers are transforming finance, leading us to develop an advanced method for predicting future stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Bivas Dinda

American options are studied in a general discrete market in the presence of proportional transaction costs, modelled as bid-ask spreads. Pricing algorithms and constructions of hedging strategies, stopping times and martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Alet Roux , Tomasz Zastawniak

Predicting fund performance is beneficial to both investors and fund managers, and yet is a challenging task. In this paper, we have tested whether deep learning models can predict fund performance more accurately than traditional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-01 Nghia Chu , Binh Dao , Nga Pham , Huy Nguyen , Hien Tran

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

It is essential to incorporate the impact of investor behavior when modeling the dynamics of asset returns. In this paper, we reconcile behavioral finance and rational finance by incorporating investor behavior within the framework of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-23 Abootaleb Shirvani , Yuan Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

This paper explores the effectiveness of high-frequency options trading strategies enhanced by advanced portfolio optimization techniques, investigating their ability to consistently generate positive returns compared to traditional long or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Sid Bhatia

We propose three different data-driven approaches for pricing European-style call options using supervised machine-learning algorithms. These approaches yield models that give a range of fair prices instead of a single price point. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani , Atharva Tanksale

This document presents an in-depth examination of stock market sentiment through the integration of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), enabling precise risk alerts. The robust feature extraction capability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 You Wu , Mengfang Sun , Hongye Zheng , Jinxin Hu , Yingbin Liang , Zhenghao Lin

The implied volatility smile surface is the basis of option pricing, and the dynamic evolution of the option volatility smile surface is difficult to predict. In this paper, attention mechanism is introduced into LSTM, and a volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-25 Shengli Chen , Zili Zhang

Recommendation systems aim to assist users to discover most preferred contents from an ever-growing corpus of items. Although recommenders have been greatly improved by deep learning, they still faces several challenges: (1) Behaviors are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Wendi Ji , Keqiang Wang , Xiaoling Wang , TingWei Chen , Alexandra Cristea

In this work, we develop a novel efficient quadrature and sparse grid based polynomial interpolation method to price American options with multiple underlying assets. The approach is based on first formulating the pricing of American…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Jiefei Yang , Guanglian Li
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