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I propose a semiparametric Bayesian inference framework for conditional moment equalities. The core idea is that these models deterministically map a conditional distribution of data to a structural parameter via the restriction that a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-19 Christopher D. Walker

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

A common problem in disciplines of applied Statistics research such as Astrostatistics is of estimating the posterior distribution of relevant parameters. Typically, the likelihoods for such models are computed via expensive experiments…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-07 Kirthevasan Kandasamy , Jeff Schneider , Barnabás Póczos

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

In Bayesian statistics, posterior contraction rates (PCRs) quantify the speed at which the posterior distribution concentrates on arbitrarily small neighborhoods of a true model, in a suitable way, as the sample size goes to infinity. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

Bayesian methods have proved powerful in many applications for the inference of model parameters from data. These methods are based on Bayes' theorem, which itself is deceptively simple. However, in practice the computations required are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Michael A. Chappell , Mark W. Woolrich

We propose a Bayesian framework for uncertainty quantification and comparison in brain connectivity graph analysis. Standard graph-based approaches typically rely on point estimates of correlation matrices, overlooking the uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Alice Chevaux , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Sophie Achard

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Full Bayesian posteriors are rarely analytically tractable, which is why real-world Bayesian inference heavily relies on approximate techniques. Approximations generally differ from the true posterior and require diagnostic tools to assess…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Luca Rendsburg , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig , Ulrike von Luxburg

We consider a Bayesian approach to variable selection in the presence of high dimensional covariates based on a hierarchical model that places prior distributions on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. We adopt the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Naveen Naidu Narisetty , Xuming He

The topic of robustness is experiencing a resurgence of interest in the statistical and machine learning communities. In particular, robust algorithms making use of the so-called median of means estimator were shown to satisfy strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Stanislav Minsker , Shunan Yao

In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Neill Smit , Lizanne Raubenheimer

A continuous approximation for the results of [1] is obtained. In this approximation the energy distribution is represented in the form of the product of the Gibbs factor and superstatistics factor. The mutual weights of the factors are…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Weichang Yu , Howard D. Bondell

We study frequentist properties of a Bayesian high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model with correlated responses. The predictors are separated into many groups and the group structure is pre-determined. Two features of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Bo Ning , Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

A new method of extracting the low-lying energy spectrum from Monte Carlo estimates of Euclidean-space correlation functions which incorporates Bayesian inference is described and tested. The procedure fully exploits the information present…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-11-07 Colin Morningstar

Determining an appropriate sample size is a critical element of study design, and the method used to determine it should be consistent with the planned analysis. When the planned analysis involves Bayes factor hypothesis testing, the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

This paper introduces a feasible and practical Bayesian method for unit root testing in financial time series. We propose a convenient approximation of the Bayes factor in terms of the Bayesian Information Criterion as a straightforward and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-23 Magris Martin , Iosifidis Alexandros

This paper aims to examine the characteristics of the posterior distribution of covariance/precision matrices in a "large $p$, large $n$" scenario, where $p$ represents the number of variables and $n$ is the sample size. Our analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Partha Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh , Matt P. Wand

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is typically used when the likelihood is either unavailable or intractable but where data can be simulated under different parameter settings using a forward model. Despite the recent interest in ABC,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Taylor Pospisil