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The temporal autocorrelation (AC) function associated with monitoring order parameters characterizing conformational fluctuations of an enzyme is analyzed using a collection of surrogate models. The surrogates considered are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Christopher P. Calderon

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

Driven by increased complexity of dynamical systems, the solution of system of differential equations through numerical simulation in optimization problems has become computationally expensive. This paper provides a smart data driven…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Kainat Khowaja , Mykhaylo Shcherbatyy , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

For economic nonlinear model predictive control and dynamic real-time optimization fast and accurate models are necessary. Consequently, the use of dynamic surrogate models to mimic complex rigorous models is increasingly coming into focus.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-30 Torben Talis , Joris Weigert , Erik Esche , Jens-Uwe Repke

The dominant paradigm for power system dynamic simulation is to build system-level simulations by combining physics-based models of individual components. The sheer size of the system along with the rapid integration of inverter-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Matthew Bossart , Jose Daniel Lara , Ciaran Roberts , Rodrigo Henriquez-Auba , Duncan Callaway , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Stochastic unit commitment models typically handle uncertainties in forecast demand by considering a finite number of realizations from a stochastic process model for loads. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher moments for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-paul watson

We propose a statistical-stochastic surrogate modeling approach to predict the response of the mean and variance statistics under various initial conditions and external forcing perturbations. The proposed modeling framework extends the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-07 Di Qi , John Harlim

Temporal surrogate models are effective for predicting chaotic dynamical systems where computational cost can be prohibitive. Several deep neural network architectures can be used for such purposes. In this work, a few commonly used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Rajarshi Biswas

We propose a stochastic model reduction strategy for deterministic and stochastic slow-fast systems with finite time-scale separation. The stochastic model reduction relaxes the assumption of infinite time-scale separation of classical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-26 Jeroen Wouters , Georg A. Gottwald

A stochastic model of excitatory and inhibitory interactions which bears universality traits is introduced and studied. The endogenous component of noise, stemming from finite size corrections, drives robust inter-nodes correlations, that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-08-16 Clement Zankoc , Duccio Fanelli , Francesco Ginelli , Roberto Livi

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Mathematical models of the human heart are increasingly playing a vital role in understanding the working mechanisms of the heart, both under healthy functioning and during disease. The aim is to aid medical practitioners diagnose and treat…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Sridhar Chellappa , Barış Cansız , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner , Michael Kaliske

High-fidelity numerical simulations of chaotic, high dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems are computationally expensive, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. Most surrogate models for such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Hojin Kim , Romit Maulik

The perturbation theory of operator semigroups is used to derive response formulas for a variety of combinations of acting forcings and reference background dynamics. In the case of background stochastic dynamics, we decompose the response…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-23 Manuel Santos Gutiérrez , Valerio Lucarini

Time series measured from real-world systems are generally noisy, complex and display statistical properties that evolve continuously over time. Here, we present a method that combines wavelet analysis and non-stationary surrogates to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Mario Chavez , Bernard Cazelles

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

We present a data-driven, space-time continuous framework to learn surrogate models for complex physical systems described by advection-dominated partial differential equations. Those systems have slow-decaying Kolmogorov n-width that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez , Anudhyan Boral , Fei Sha

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

A surrogate model that accurately predicts distribution system voltages is crucial for reliable smart grid planning and operation. This letter proposes a fixed-point data-driven surrogate modeling method that employs a limited dataset to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Hoang Tien Nguyen , Young-Jin Kim , Dae-Hyun Choi
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