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It has been known that the binary replica liquid theory (RLT) is inconsistent with its one-component counterpart; In the limit that all atoms are identical, the configurational entropy and thus the glass transition point calculated by the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-12-09 Harukuni Ikeda , Kunimasa Miyazaki , Atsushi Ikeda

The quantification of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in terms of conditional entropy and mutual information, respectively, has recently become quite common in machine learning. While the properties of these measures, which are rooted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Lisa Wimmer , Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Bern Bischl , Eyke Hüllermeier

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are instrumental in modelling sequential and time-series data. Yet, when using RNNs to inform decision-making, predictions by themselves are not sufficient; we also need estimates of predictive uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Here we present a novel approach to statistical analysis of financial time series. The approach is based on $n$-grams frequency dictionaries derived from the quantized market data. Such dictionaries are studied by evaluating their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-14 Igor Borovikov , Michael Sadovsky

In this paper, we elaborate over the well-known interpretability issue in echo state networks. The idea is to investigate the dynamics of reservoir neurons with time-series analysis techniques taken from research on complex systems.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-21 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Lorenzo Livi , Cesare Alippi

This work connects two mathematical fields - computational complexity and interval linear algebra. It introduces the basic topics of interval linear algebra - regularity and singularity, full column rank, solving a linear system, deciding…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-02-02 Jaroslav Horáček , Milan Hladík , Michal Černý

Rule based classifiers that use the presence and absence of key sub-strings to make classification decisions have a natural mechanism for quantifying the uncertainty of their precision. For a binary classifier, the key insight is to treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-20 James Nutaro , Ozgur Ozmen

Model explainability is crucial for human users to be able to interpret how a proposed classifier assigns labels to data based on its feature values. We study generalized linear models constructed using sets of feature value rules, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Sanjeeb Dash , Soumyadip Ghosh , Joao Goncalves , Mark S. Squillante

This article is concerned with automated complexity analysis of term rewrite systems. Since these systems underlie much of declarative programming, time complexity of functions defined by rewrite systems is of particular interest. Among…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-06-02 Nao Hirokawa , Georg Moser

The recurrence times between extreme events have been the central point of statistical analyses in many different areas of science. Simultaneously, the Poincar\'e recurrence time has been extensively used to characterize nonlinear dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Eduardo G. Altmann , Holger Kantz

We consider the goal of predicting how complex networks respond to chronic (press) perturbations when characterizations of their network topology and interaction strengths are associated with uncertainty. Our primary result is the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-26 David Koslicki , Mark Novak

Transfer entropy is a widely used measure for quantifying directed information flows in complex systems. While the challenges of estimating transfer entropy for continuous data are well known, it has two major shortcomings for data of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-27 Alec Kirkley

Given a countable set X (usually taken to be N or Z), an infinite permutation $\pi$ of X is a linear ordering $<_\pi$ of X. This paper investigates the combinatorial complexity of infinite permutations on N associated with the image of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Steven Widmer

Written language is complex. A written text can be considered an attempt to convey a meaningful message which ends up being constrained by language rules, context dependence and highly redundant in its use of resources. Despite all these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-05-20 E. Estevez-Rams , A. Mesa Rodriguez , D. Estevez-Moya

We present exact results for two complementary measures of spatial structure generated by 1D spin systems with finite-range interactions. The first, excess entropy, measures the apparent spatial memory stored in configurations. The second,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 James P. Crutchfield , David P. Feldman

Machine learning solutions for pattern classification problems are nowadays widely deployed in society and industry. However, the lack of transparency and accountability of most accurate models often hinders their safe use. Thus, there is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Gonzalo Nápoles , Yamisleydi Salgueiro , Isel Grau , Maikel Leon Espinosa

Functional complex networks have meant a pivotal change in the way we understand complex systems, being the most outstanding one the human brain. These networks have classically been reconstructed using a frequentist approach that, while…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-14 Massimiliano Zanin , Seddik Belkoura , Javier Gomez , Cesar Alfaro , Javier Cano

This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray

The paper studies frequency characteristics and predictability of real sequences, i.e., discrete time processes in deterministic setting. We consider band-limitness and predictability of one-sided sequences. We establish predictability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Nikolai Dokuchaev

The knowledge of transitions between regular, laminar or chaotic behavior is essential to understand the underlying mechanisms behind complex systems. While several linear approaches are often insufficient to describe such processes, there…

Medical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Marwan , N. Wessel , U. Meyerfeldt , A. Schirdewan , J. Kurths
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