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Neutron noise analysis is a predominant technique for fissile matter identification with passive methods. Quantifying the uncertainties associated with the estimated nuclear parameters is crucial for decision-making. A conservative…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-03 Paul Lartaud , Philippe Humbert , Josselin Garnier

We study consistency properties of machine learning methods based on minimizing convex surrogates. We extend the recent framework of Osokin et al. (2017) for the quantitative analysis of consistency properties to the case of inconsistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Kirill Struminsky , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Anton Osokin

We propose a framework to perform Bayesian inference using conditional score-based diffusion models to solve a class of inverse problems in mechanics involving the inference of a specimen's spatially varying material properties from noisy…

We consider the problem of constructing surrogate operators for parameter-to-solution maps arising from parametric partial differential equations, where repeated forward model evaluations are computationally expensive. We present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Josephine Westermann , Benno Huber , Thomas O'Leary-Roseberry , Jakob Zech

We consider the task of solving generic inverse problems, where one wishes to determine the hidden parameters of a natural system that will give rise to a particular set of measurements. Recently many new approaches based upon deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Simiao Ren , Willie Padilla , Jordan Malof

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

This survey gives an overview of Monte Carlo methodologies using surrogate models, for dealing with densities which are intractable, costly, and/or noisy. This type of problem can be found in numerous real-world scenarios, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 F. Llorente , L. Martino , J. Read , D. Delgado

The diffusion-driven Turing instability is a potential mechanism for spatial pattern formation in numerous biological and chemical systems. However, engineering these patterns and demonstrating that they are produced by this mechanism is…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-12-02 Antonio Matas-Gil , Robert G. Endres

This paper is concerned with the development, analysis and numerical realization of a novel variational model for the regularization of inverse problems in imaging. The proposed model is inspired by the architecture of generative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-10 Andreas Habring , Martin Holler

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

We investigate a deep learning approach to efficiently perform Bayesian inference in partial differential equation (PDE) and integral equation models over potentially high-dimensional parameter spaces. The contributions of this paper are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Teo Deveney , Eike Mueller , Tony Shardlow

The data-centric construction of inexpensive surrogates for fine-grained, physical models has been at the forefront of computational physics due to its significant utility in many-query tasks such as uncertainty quantification. Recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Maximilian Rixner , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

We consider the use of probabilistic neural networks for fluid flow {surrogate modeling} and data recovery. This framework is constructed by assuming that the target variables are sampled from a Gaussian distribution conditioned on the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-14 Romit Maulik , Kai Fukami , Nesar Ramachandra , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

Source localization is the inverse problem of graph information dissemination and has broad practical applications. However, the inherent intricacy and uncertainty in information dissemination pose significant challenges, and the ill-posed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Bosong Huang , Weihao Yu , Ruzhong Xie , Jing Xiao , Jin Huang

The article addresses the problem of detecting presence and location of a small low emission source inside of an object, when the background noise dominates. This problem arises, for instance, in some homeland security applications. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Xiaolei Xun , Bani Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll , Peter Kuchment

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

We propose an efficient surrogate modeling technique for uncertainty quantification. The method is based on a well-known dimension-adaptive collocation scheme. We improve the scheme by enhancing sparse polynomial surrogates with conformal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Niklas Georg , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

The quantification of uncertainties of computer simulations due to input parameter uncertainties is paramount to assess a model's credibility. For computationally expensive simulations, this is often feasible only via surrogate models that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-30 Sascha Ranftl , Wolfgang von der Linden

In this document, a neural network is employed in order to estimate the solution of the initial value problem in the context of non linear trajectories. Such trajectories can be subject to gravity, thrust, drag, centrifugal force,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Theodoros Ntakouris