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Modern risk modelling approaches deal with vectors of multiple components. The components could be, for example, returns of financial instruments or losses within an insurance portfolio concerning different lines of business. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele , Jaakko Lehtomaa

We build a sharp approximation of the whole distribution of the sum of iid heavy-tailed random vectors, combining mean and extreme behaviors. It extends the so-called 'normex' approach from a univariate to a multivariate framework. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Marie Kratz , Evgeny Prokopenko

Heavy tailed distributions present a tough setting for inference. They are also common in industrial applications, particularly with Internet transaction datasets, and machine learners often analyze such data without considering the biases…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-14 Matt Taddy , Hedibert Freitas Lopes , Matt Gardner

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

Skewed generalizations of the normal distribution have been a topic of great interest in the statistics community due to their diverse applications across several domains. One of the most popular skew normal distributions, due to its…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Narayan Srinivasan

We consider a multivariate heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model and analyze the large-sample behavior of its sample covariance matrix. We study the limiting behavior of its entries in the infinite-variance case and derive results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Anja Janßen , Thomas Mikosch , Mohsen Rezapour , Xiaolei Xie

We formalise and generalise the definition of the family of univariate double two--piece distributions, obtained by using a density--based transformation of unimodal symmetric continuous distributions with a shape parameter. The resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-07 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

This paper introduces a new distribution to improve tail risk modeling. Based on the classical normal distribution, we define a new distribution by a series of heat equations. Then, we use market data to verify our model.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Xiaolin Gong , Shuzhen Yang

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

In this paper, an alternative Discrete skew Logistic distribution is proposed, which is derived by using the general approach of discretizing a continuous distribution while retaining its survival function. The properties of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 Deepesh Bhati , Subrata Chakraborty , Snober Gowhar Lateef

In this paper we have introduced a generalized version of alpha beta skew normal distribution in the same line of Sharafi et al. (2017) and investigated some of its basic properties. The extensions of the proposed distribution have also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Sricharan Shah , Subrata Chakraborty , Partha Jyoti Hazarika , M. Masoom Ali

We examine the problem of computing multivariate scenarios sets for skewed distributions. Our interest is motivated by the potential use of such sets in the "stress testing" of insurance companies and banks whose solvency is dependent on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-05 Emanuele Giorgi , Alexander J. McNeil

In environmental studies, many data are typically skewed and it is desired to have a flexible statistical model for this kind of data. In this paper, we study a class of skewed distributions by invoking arguments as described by Ferreira…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-06 Indranil Ghosh , Hon Keung Tony Ng

A decision must often be made between heavy-tailed and Gaussian errors for a regression or a time series model, and the t-distribution is frequently used when it is assumed that the errors are heavy-tailed distributed. The performance of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-11 J. Martin van Zyl

We perform a Bayesian analysis of the p-variate skew-t model, providing a new parameterization, a set of non-informative priors and a sampler specifically designed to explore the posterior density of the model parameters. Extensions, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-04 Antonio Parisi , Brunero Liseo

In recent years, data have become increasingly higher dimensional and, therefore, an increased need has arisen for dimension reduction techniques for clustering. Although such techniques are firmly established in the literature for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-30 Michael P. B. Gallaugher , Paul D. McNicholas

Normalising flows are tractable probabilistic models that leverage the power of deep learning to describe a wide parametric family of distributions, all while remaining trainable using maximum likelihood. We discuss how these methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Simon Alexanderson , Gustav Eje Henter

I present a parametric, bijective transformation to generate heavy tail versions Y of arbitrary RVs X ~ F. The tail behavior of the so-called 'heavy tail Lambert W x F' RV Y depends on a tail parameter delta >= 0: for delta = 0, Y = X, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Georg M. Goerg