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This paper is concerned with a nonparametric regression problem in which the input variables and the errors are autocorrelated in time. The motivation for the research stems from modeling wind power curves. Using existing model selection…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-13 Abhinav Prakash , Rui Tuo , Yu Ding

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

The non-stationary nature of real-world Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data presents forecasting models with a formidable challenge of the time-variant distribution of time series, referred to as distribution shift. Existing studies on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Xiaojun Xue , Shoujin Wang , Liang Hu , Longbing Cao

We propose new resampling-based approaches to construct asymptotically valid time simultaneous confidence bands for cumulative hazard functions in multi-state Cox models. In particular, we exemplify the methodology in detail for the simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-02 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly , Thomas H. Scheike

Microbial ecology serves as a foundation for a wide range of scientific and biomedical studies. Rapidly-evolving high-throughput sequencing technology enables the comprehensive search for microbial biomarkers using longitudinal experiments.…

Many scientific analyses require simultaneous comparison of multiple functionals of an unknown signal at once, calling for multidimensional confidence regions with guaranteed simultaneous frequentist under structural constraints (e.g.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Michael Stanley , Javier Ruiz Lupon , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Bootstrap is commonly used as a tool for non-parametric statistical inference to estimate meaningful parameters in Variable Selection Models. However, for massive dataset that has exponential growth rate, the computation of Bootstrap…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-26 Zhibing He , Yichen Qin , Ben-Chang Shia , Yang Li

This paper develops bootstrap procedures for inference in linear regression models with two-way clustered data. We characterize the estimator's asymptotic behavior in five mutually exclusive and exhaustive regimes: three Gaussian and two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-04 Ulrich Hounyo , Jiahao Lin

We present a method for the joint analysis of a panel of possibly nonstationary time series. The approach is Bayesian and uses a covariate-dependent infinite mixture model to incorporate multiple time series, with mixture components…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-05 Michael Bertolacci , Ori Rosen , Edward Cripps , Sally Cripps

The latent class model is a powerful unsupervised clustering algorithm for categorical data. Many statistics exist to test the fit of the latent class model. However, traditional methods to evaluate those fit statistics are not always…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Geert H. van Kollenburg , Joris Mulder , Jeroen K. Vermunt

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

In many applications, data are observed as matrices with temporal dependence. Matrix-variate time series modeling is a new branch of econometrics. Although stylized facts in several fields, the existing models do not account for regime…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Andrea Bucci

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

This study examines statistical performance of tests for time-varying properties under misspecified conditional mean and variance. When we test for time-varying properties of the conditional mean in the case in which data have no…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-04 Daiki Maki , Yasushi Ota

In this paper, we present an algorithm for learning time-correlated measurement covariances for application in batch state estimation. We parameterize the inverse measurement covariance matrix to be block-banded, which conveniently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-14 David J. Yoon , Timothy D. Barfoot

We introduce a nonparametric bootstrap procedure based on a dynamic factor model to construct pointwise prediction intervals for period life-table death counts. The age distribution of death counts is an example of constrained data, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Han Lin Shang

Practical inference procedures for quantile regression models of panel data have been a pervasive concern in empirical work, and can be especially challenging when the panel is observed over many time periods and temporal dependence needs…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-25 Antonio F. Galvao , Carlos Lamarche , Thomas Parker

We apply the bootstrap technique to find the moments of certain multi-trace and multi-matrix random matrix models suggested by noncommutative geometry. Using bootstrapping we are able to find the relationships between the coupling constant…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-02-09 Hamed Hessam , Masoud Khalkhali , Nathan Pagliaroli

Motivated by the questions of risk assessment in climatology (temperature change in North America) and medicine (impact of statin usage and COVID-19 on hospitalized patients), we address the problem of estimating the set in the domain of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Junting Ren , Fabian J. E. Telschow , Armin Schwartzman