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In engineering, uncertainty propagation aims to characterise system outputs under uncertain inputs. For interval uncertainty, the goal is to determine output bounds given interval-valued inputs, which is critical for robust design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ghifari Adam Faza , Jolan Wauters , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens

Kinetic simulations excel at capturing microscale plasma physics phenomena with high accuracy, but their computational demands make them impractical for modeling large-scale space and astrophysical systems. In this context, we build a…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Simin Shekarpaz , Chuanfei Dong , Ziyu Huang

Optimization and uncertainty quantification have been playing an increasingly important role in computational hemodynamics. However, existing methods based on principled modeling and classic numerical techniques have faced significant…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Pan Du , Xiaozhi Zhu , Jian-Xun Wang

In this paper we introduce a novel way of estimating prediction uncertainty in deep networks through the use of uncertainty surrogates. These surrogates are features of the penultimate layer of a deep network that are forced to match…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Radhakrishna Achanta , Natasa Tagasovska

Consider scene understanding problems such as predicting where a person is probably reaching, or inferring the pose of 3D objects from depth images, or inferring the probable street crossings of pedestrians at a busy intersection. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Javier Felip , Nilesh Ahuja , David Gómez-Gutiérrez , Omesh Tickoo , Vikash Mansinghka

The computational resources required to solve the full 3D inversion of time-domain electromagnetic data are immense. To overcome the time-consuming 3D simulations, we construct a surrogate model, more precisely, a data-driven statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-07-10 Wouter Deleersnyder , David Dudal , Thomas Hermans

It has long been known that the excitation of fast motion in certain two-scale dynamical systems is linked to the singularity structure in complex time of the slow variables. We demonstrate, in the context of a fast harmonic oscillator…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-02-05 Marcel Oliver , Marc Aurele Tiofack Kenfack

Active inference is a normative principle underwriting perception, action, planning, decision-making and learning in biological or artificial agents. From its inception, its associated process theory has grown to incorporate complex…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-02 Lancelot Da Costa , Thomas Parr , Noor Sajid , Sebastijan Veselic , Victorita Neacsu , Karl Friston

We propose a novel \textit{capsule} based deep encoder-decoder model for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification of systems in mechanics from sparse data. The proposed framework is developed by adapting Capsule Network (CapsNet)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-20 Akshay Thakur , Souvik Chakraborty

The topology optimization of artificial neural networks can be particularly difficult if the fitness evaluations require expensive experiments or simulations. For that reason, the optimization methods may need to be supported by surrogate…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Jörg Stork , Martin Zaefferer , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

In recent years, computational power and data availability breakthroughs have revolutionized our ability to analyze complex physical systems through the inverse problem approach. Data-driven techniques like system identification and machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Sriram Narayanan , Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Ishan Paranjape , Indranil Nayak , Suman Chakravorty , Mrinal Kumar

Machine learning surrogate emulators are needed in engineering design and optimization tasks to rapidly emulate computationally expensive physics-based models. In micromechanics problems the local full-field response variables are desired…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Patxi Fernandez-Zelaia , Jason Mayeur , Jiahao Cheng , Yousub Lee , Kevin Knipe , Kai Kadau

Many fields of science and engineering rely on running simulations with complex and computationally expensive models to understand the involved processes in the system of interest. Nevertheless, the high cost involved hamper reliable and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-16 Daniel Heestermans Svendsen , Luca Martino , Gustau Camps-Valls

Neural network surrogate models have emerged as a promising approach to model solution fields for a wide variety of boundary value problems encountered in physical modeling. Stochastic problems represent an area of particularly high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Noah Wade , Kirubel Teferra

Interacting multi-scale physics present in the Rotating Detonation Engine lead to diverse nonlinear dynamical behavior, including combustion wave mode-locking, modulation, and bifurcations. In this work, surrogate models of the RDE physics,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-16 James Koch

Computational Intelligence (CI) techniques have shown great potential as a surrogate model of expensive physics simulation, with demonstrated ability to make fast predictions, albeit at the expense of accuracy in some cases. For many…

Surrogates, models that mimic the behavior of programs, form the basis of a variety of development workflows. We study three surrogate-based design patterns, evaluating each in case studies on a large-scale CPU simulator. With surrogate…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Alex Renda , Yi Ding , Michael Carbin

In modern science, computer models are often used to understand complex phenomena, and a thriving statistical community has grown around analyzing them. This review aims to bring a spotlight to the growing prevalence of stochastic computer…

Poroelasticity -- coupled fluid flow and elastic deformation in porous media -- often involves spatially variable permeability, especially in subsurface systems. In such cases, simulations with random permeability fields are widely used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Sangjoon Park , Yeonjong Shin , Jinhyun Choo

The Dragonfly network, with its high-radix and low-diameter structure, is a leading interconnect in high-performance computing. A major challenge is workload interference on shared network links. Parallel discrete event simulation (PDES) is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Xin Wang , Pietro Lodi Rizzini , Sourav Medya , Zhiling Lan