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This paper extends quantile factor analysis to a probabilistic variant that incorporates regularization and computationally efficient variational approximations. We establish through synthetic and real data experiments that the proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-16 Dimitris Korobilis , Maximilian Schröder

We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Arun Sai Suggala , Kush Bhatia , Pradeep Ravikumar , Prateek Jain

Functional quadratic regression models postulate a polynomial relationship between a scalar response rather than a linear one. As in functional linear regression, vertical and specially high-leverage outliers may affect the classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Graciela Boente , Daniela Parada

Extremile (Daouia, Gijbels and Stupfler,2019) is a novel and coherent measure of risk, determined by weighted expectations rather than tail probabilities. It finds application in risk management, and, in contrast to quantiles, it fulfills…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Rong Jiang , Keming Yu

We introduce new estimators for robust machine learning based on median-of-means (MOM) estimators of the mean of real valued random variables. These estimators achieve optimal rates of convergence under minimal assumptions on the dataset.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Guillaume Lecué , Matthieu Lerasle

In this work, the estimation of the multivariate normal mean by different classes of shrinkage estimators is investigated. The risk associated with the balanced loss function is used to compare two estimators. We start by considering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Abdelkader Benkhaled , Mekki Terbeche , Abdenour Hamdaoui

Estimating linear regression using least squares and reporting robust standard errors is very common in financial economics, and indeed, much of the social sciences and elsewhere. For thick tailed predictors under heteroskedasticity this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Neil Shephard

This paper is concerned with the analysis and implementation of robust finite element approximation methods for mixed formulations of linear elasticity problems where the elastic solid is almost incompressible. Several novel a posteriori…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Arbaz Khan , Catherine E. Powell , David J. Silvester

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

We study policy evaluation of offline contextual bandits subject to unobserved confounders. Sensitivity analysis methods are commonly used to estimate the policy value under the worst-case confounding over a given uncertainty set. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-25 Kei Ishikawa , Niao He

In this work, we propose and analyze a pointwise a posteriori error estimator for simple eigenvalues of elliptic eigenvalue problems with adaptive finite element methods (AFEMs). We prove the reliability and efficiency of the residual-type…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Zhenglei Li , Qigang Liang , Xuejun Xu

We develop a theory of stable bundles and affine Hermitian-Einstein metrics for flat vector bundles over a special affine manifold (a manifold admitting an atlas whose gluing maps are all locally constant volume-preserving affine maps). Our…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2007-11-08 John Loftin

We prove ratio-consistency of the jackknife variance estimator, and certain variants, for a broad class of generalized U-statistics whose variance is asymptotically dominated by their H\'ajek projection, with the classical fixed-order case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Jakob R. Juergens

A priori error bounds have been derived for different balancing-related model reduction methods. The most classical result is a bound for balanced truncation and singular perturbation approximation that is applicable for asymptotically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Björn Liljegren-Sailer

A collection of robust Mahalanobis distances for multivariate outlier detection is proposed, based on the notion of shrinkage. Robust intensity and scaling factors are optimally estimated to define the shrinkage. Some properties are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-06 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

The problem of linear predictions has been extensively studied for the past century under pretty generalized frameworks. Recent advances in the robust statistics literature allow us to analyze robust versions of classical linear models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Debolina Paul , Swagatam Das

We present new M-estimators of the mean and variance of real valued random variables, based on PAC-Bayes bounds. We analyze the non-asymptotic minimax properties of the deviations of those estimators for sample distributions having either a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Olivier Catoni

Formula alpha mining, which generates predictive signals from financial data, is critical for quantitative investment. Although various algorithmic approaches-such as genetic programming, reinforcement learning, and large language…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Hongjun Ding , Binqi Chen , Jinsheng Huang , Taian Guo , Zhengyang Mao , Guoyi Shao , Lutong Zou , Luchen Liu , Ming Zhang

We introduce a new family of estimators for unnormalized statistical models. Our family of estimators is parameterized by two nonlinear functions and uses a single sample from an auxiliary distribution, generalizing Maximum Likelihood Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Miika Pihlaja , Michael Gutmann , Aapo Hyvarinen

This paper considers the problem of design-based inference for the average treatment effect in finely stratified experiments. Here, by "design-based'' we mean that the only source of uncertainty stems from the randomness in treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Yuehao Bai , Xun Huang , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan