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Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

The likelihood function of a finite mixture model is a non-convex function with multiple local maxima and commonly used iterative algorithms such as EM will converge to different solutions depending on initial conditions. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Elad Mezuman , Yair Weiss

Generalization error bounds for deep neural networks trained by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) are derived by combining a dynamical control of an appropriate parameter norm and the Rademacher complexity estimate based on parameter norms.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Mingze Wang , Chao Ma

Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) provides a practical and effective approach for equipping deep learning models with uncertainty estimates in the form of set-valued predictions which are guaranteed to contain the ground truth with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Apoorva Sharma , Sushant Veer , Asher Hancock , Heng Yang , Marco Pavone , Anirudha Majumdar

We study the problem of deterministic approximate counting of matchings and independent sets in graphs of bounded connective constant. More generally, we consider the problem of evaluating the partition functions of the monomer-dimer model…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-10-10 Alistair Sinclair , Piyush Srivastava , Daniel Štefankovič , Yitong Yin

Adversarial training tends to result in models that are less accurate on natural (unperturbed) examples compared to standard models. This can be attributed to either an algorithmic shortcoming or a fundamental property of the training data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Alireza Mousavi Hosseini , Amir Mohammad Abouei , Mohammad Hossein Rohban

We consider the classification problem of a high-dimensional mixture of two Gaussians with general covariance matrices. Using the replica method from statistical physics, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of a general class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Hanwen Huang , Peng Zeng

Score-based generative models (SGMs) have emerged as one of the most popular classes of generative models. A substantial body of work now exists on the analysis of SGMs, focusing either on discretization aspects or on their statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Benjamin Dupuis , Dario Shariatian , Maxime Haddouche , Alain Durmus , Umut Simsekli

Recent work established a generalized-Fano framework for lower bounding prior-predictive (Bayesian) CVaR in interactive statistical decision making. In this paper, we show how to instantiate that framework in concrete interactive problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Raghav Bongole , Tobias J. Oechtering , Mikael Skoglund

Motivated by the learned iterative soft thresholding algorithm (LISTA), we introduce a general class of neural networks suitable for sparse reconstruction from few linear measurements. By allowing a wide range of degrees of weight-sharing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Ekkehard Schnoor , Arash Behboodi , Holger Rauhut

Instrumental variables have proven useful, in particular within the social sciences and economics, for making inference about the causal effect of a random variable, B, on another random variable, C, in the presence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

We generalize finite-sample bounds for convex clustering to the setting where affinity weights appearing in the objective correspond to a general connected graph. These bounds and their analysis lead to a better understanding of clustering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Sam Rosen , Jason Xu

In this paper, we study the performance of extremum estimators from the perspective of generalization ability (GA): the ability of a model to predict outcomes in new samples from the same population. By adapting the classical concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-14 Ning Xu , Jian Hong , Timothy C. G. Fisher

Information-theoretic generalization bounds analyze stochastic optimization by relating expected generalization error to the mutual information between learned parameters and training data. Virtual perturbation analyses of SGD add auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Mohammad Partohaghighi

We study the Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization in machine learning and propose a general framework that establishes information-theoretic generalization bounds. Our framework interpolates freely between Integral Probability Metric…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Wenliang Liu , Guanding Yu , Lele Wang , Renjie Liao

We introduce an alternative closed form lower bound on the Gaussian process ($\mathcal{GP}$) likelihood based on the R\'enyi $\alpha$-divergence. This new lower bound can be viewed as a convex combination of the Nystr\"om approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

Recently the generalization error of deep neural networks has been analyzed through the PAC-Bayesian framework, for the case of fully connected layers. We adapt this approach to the convolutional setting.

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Konstantinos Pitas , Mike Davies , Pierre Vandergheynst

We introduce a data-driven approach to analyze the performance of continuous optimization algorithms using generalization guarantees from statistical learning theory. We study classical and learned optimizers to solve families of parametric…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Rajiv Sambharya , Bartolomeo Stellato

Quantum Cram\'er--Rao theory is intrinsically local: it bounds precision near a specified parameter value, and its saturating measurement generally depends on that value. Barankin-type bounds use finite parameter displacements, but remain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Hai-Long Shi , Augusto Smerzi

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk
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