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A wide variety of physical systems ranging from the firing of neurons to eutrophication of lakes to the presence of Arctic summer sea ice exhibit a phenomenon known as tipping. In mathematical models, tipping can be caused by bifurcations,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Alice Nadeau , Andrew Roberts , Andrew Steyer

Time series data from real-world systems often display non-stationary behavior, indicating varying statistical characteristics over time. This inherent variability poses significant challenges in deciphering the underlying structural…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-07 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

We consider the problem of computing the maximal invariant set of discrete-time black-box nonlinear systems without analytic dynamical models. Under the assumption that the system is asymptotically stable, the maximal invariant set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-31 Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers

This paper proposes a probabilistic Bayesian formulation for system identification (ID) and estimation of nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models. Nonseparable Hamiltonian systems arise in models from diverse…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Harsh Sharma , Nicholas Galioto , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Boris Kramer

Although there is an extensive literature on the eigenvalues of high-dimensional sample covariance matrices, much of it is specialized to independent components (IC) models -- in which observations are represented as linear transformations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

Dynamical networks are powerful tools for modeling a broad range of complex systems, including financial markets, brains, and ecosystems. They encode how the basic elements (nodes) of these systems interact altogether (via links) and evolve…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-03-13 Edward Laurence , Nicolas Doyon , Louis J Dubé , Patrick Desrosiers

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

We propose statistical systems based on $p$-adic numbers. In the systems, the Hamiltonian is a standard real number which is given by a map from the $p$-adic numbers. Therefore we can introduce the temperature as a real number and calculate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-02 Mikoto Terasawa , Shin'ichi Nojiri

In this paper, we investigate the feasibility of using subspace system identification techniques for estimating transient Structural-Thermal-Optical Performance (STOP) models of reflective optics. As a test case, we use a Newtonian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-05 Aleksandar Haber , John E. Draganov , Michael Krainak

Low sampling frequency challenges the exact identification of the continuous-time (CT) dynamical system from sampled data, even when its model is identifiable. The necessary and sufficient condition is proposed -- which is built from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-02 Zhexuan Zeng , Zuogong Yue , Alexandre Mauroy , Jorge Goncalves , Ye Yuan

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

While the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental building block of model-based reinforcement learning and feedback control, its sample complexity is only understood for systems that either have discrete states and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

The analysis of level statistics provides a primary method to detect signatures of chaos in the quantum domain. However, for experiments with ion traps and cold atoms, the energy levels are not as easily accessible as the dynamics. In this…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-01-22 E. Jonathan Torres-Herrera , Lea F. Santos

We give a polynomial-time algorithm for learning latent-state linear dynamical systems without system identification, and without assumptions on the spectral radius of the system's transition matrix. The algorithm extends the recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Elad Hazan , Holden Lee , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang , Yi Zhang

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

Is it possible to understand the intricacies of a dynamical system not solely from its input/output pattern, but also by observing the behavior of other systems within the same class? This central question drives the study presented in this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-21 Marco Forgione , Filippo Pura , Dario Piga

We present a numerical framework for recovering unknown non-autonomous dynamical systems with time-dependent inputs. To circumvent the difficulty presented by the non-autonomous nature of the system, our method transforms the solution state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-04 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

Studying time-dependent behavior in lasers is analytically difficult due to the saturating non-linearity inherent in the Maxwell-Bloch equations and numerically demanding because of the computational resources needed to discretize both time…

Optics · Physics 2015-12-23 O. Malik , K. G. Makris , H. E. Türeci

A new theoretical approach to non-equilibrium statistical systems has recently been proposed by the author, a co-author and others. It is based on a variational principle which is associated with the discrepancy of a path through…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-06 Richard Kleeman

The energy-level structure of a quantum system plays a fundamental role in determining its behavior and manifests itself in a discrete absorption and emission spectrum. Conventionally, spectra are probed via frequency spectroscopy whereby…