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Count time series are widely encountered in practice. As with continuous valued data, many count series have seasonal properties. This paper uses a recent advance in stationary count time series to develop a general seasonal count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Jiajie Kong , Robert Lund

We introduce a general framework for testing goodness-of-fit for Gaussian graphical models in both the low- and high-dimensional settings. This framework is based on a novel algorithm for generating exchangeable copies by conditioning on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Xiaotong Lin , Weihao Li , Fangqiao Tian , Dongming Huang

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Many penalized maximum likelihood estimators correspond to posterior mode estimators under specific prior distributions. Appropriateness of a particular class of penalty functions can therefore be interpreted as the appropriateness of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-11 Maryclare Griffin , Peter D. Hoff

Recently there have been many research efforts in developing generative models for self-exciting point processes, partly due to their broad applicability for real-world applications. However, rarely can we quantify how well the generative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Song Wei , Shixiang Zhu , Minghe Zhang , Yao Xie

This work is concerned with nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing in the context of nonlinear inverse problems with random observations. Bayesian posterior distributions based upon a Gaussian process prior distribution are proven to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Remo Kretschmann , Han Cheng Lie

Many flexible families of positive random variables exhibit non-closed forms of the density and distribution functions and this feature is considered unappealing for modelling purposes. However, such families are often characterized by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Lucio Barabesi , Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

There exist a number of tests for assessing the nonparametric heteroscedastic location-scale assumption. Here we consider a goodness-of-fit test for the more general hypothesis of the validity of this model under a parametric functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

A variety of statistics based on sample spacings has been studied in the literature for testing goodness-of-fit to parametric distributions. To test the goodness-of-fit to a nonparametric class of univariate shape-constrained densities,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Hok Kan Ling , Chuan-Fa Tang , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

The objective of this text is to propose and study goodness-of-fit tests for DBP, which are consistent. Since the probability generating function (fgp) characterizes the distribution of a random vector and can be estimated consistently by…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-03 Francisco Novoa-Muñoz

Weighted histogram in Monte-Carlo simulations is often used for the estimation of a probability density function. It is obtained as a result of random experiment with random events that have weights. In this paper the bin contents of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-11-28 N. D. Gagunashvili

Determining the relevant spatial covariates is one of the most important problems in the analysis of point patterns. Parametric methods may lead to incorrect conclusions, especially when the model of interactions between points is wrong.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Jiří Dvořák , Tomáš Mrkvička

A key object of study in stochastic topology is a random simplicial complex. In this work we study a multi-parameter random simplicial complex model, where the probability of including a $k$-simplex, given the lower dimensional structure,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Tadas Temčinas , Vidit Nanda , Gesine Reinert

A family of consistent tests, derived from a characterization of the probability generating function, is proposed for assessing Poissonity against a wide class of count distributions, which includes some of the most frequently adopted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper we study goodness-of-fit testing of single-index models. The large sample behavior of certain score-type test statistics is investigated. As a by-product, we obtain asymptotically distribution-free maximin tests for a large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

In this paper we propose a new test of heteroscedasticity for parametric regression models and partial linear regression models in high dimensional settings. When the dimension of covariates is large, existing tests of heteroscedasticity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-09 Falong Tan , Xuejun Jiang , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

This paper investigates the (in)-consistency of various bootstrap methods for making inference on a change-point in time in the Cox model with right censored survival data. A criterion is established for the consistency of any bootstrap…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-01 Gongjun Xu , Bodhisattva Sen , Zhiliang Ying

This paper discusses some problems possibly arising when approximating via Monte-Carlo simulations the distributions of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on the empirical distribution function. We argue that failing to re-estimate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-04-01 Marco Capasso , Lucia Alessi , Matteo Barigozzi , Giorgio Fagiolo

In multivariate nonparametric regression the additive models are very useful when a suitable parametric model is difficult to find. The backfitting algorithm is a powerful tool to estimate the additive components. However, due to complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-18 Abhijit Mandal