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Conformal prediction is a distribution-free and model-agnostic uncertainty-quantification method that provides finite-sample prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. In this work, for the first time, we apply conformal-prediction to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-02-02 Habib Yousefi Dezdarani , Ryan Curry , Alexandros Gezerlis

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf

Recent advances in large pretrained language models have increased attention to zero-shot text classification. In particular, models finetuned on natural language inference datasets have been widely adopted as zero-shot classifiers due to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Ariel Gera , Alon Halfon , Eyal Shnarch , Yotam Perlitz , Liat Ein-Dor , Noam Slonim

Automatic anatomical landmark localization has made great strides by leveraging deep learning methods in recent years. The ability to quantify the uncertainty of these predictions is a vital component needed for these methods to be adopted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Lawrence Schobs , Andrew J. Swift , Haiping Lu

Predicting sets of outcomes -- instead of unique outcomes -- is a promising solution to uncertainty quantification in statistical learning. Despite a rich literature on constructing prediction sets with statistical guarantees, adapting to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Hongxiang Qiu , Edgar Dobriban , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Data scarcity is a major limiting factor for applying modern machine learning techniques to clinical tasks. Although sufficient data exists for some well-studied medical tasks, there remains a long tail of clinically relevant tasks with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Stefano Woerner , Christian F. Baumgartner

State-of-the-art 3D point cloud registration methods rely on labeled 3D datasets for training, which limits their practical applications in real-world scenarios and often hinders generalization to unseen scenes. Leveraging the zero-shot…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Weijie Wang , Wenqi Ren , Guofeng Mei , Bin Ren , Xiaoshui Huang , Fabio Poiesi , Nicu Sebe , Bruno Lepri

Accurately knowing uncertainties in appearance-based gaze tracking is critical for ensuring reliable downstream applications. Due to the lack of individual uncertainty labels, current uncertainty-aware approaches adopt probabilistic models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Qiaojie Zheng , Jiucai Zhang , Xiaoli Zhang

Machine learning has become an effective tool for automatically annotating unstructured data (e.g., images) with structured labels (e.g., object detections). As a result, a new programming paradigm called neurosymbolic programming has…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ramya Ramalingam , Sangdon Park , Osbert Bastani

Existing approaches to model uncertainty typically either compare models using a quantitative model selection criterion or evaluate posterior model probabilities having set a prior. In this paper, we propose an alternative strategy which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Vik Shirvaikar , Stephen G. Walker , Chris Holmes

Deep learning models are being adopted and applied on various critical decision-making tasks, yet they are trained to provide point predictions without providing degrees of confidence. The trustworthiness of deep learning models can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Daniel Nolte , Souparno Ghosh , Ranadip Pal

Applications of large language models often involve the generation of free-form responses, in which case uncertainty quantification becomes challenging. This is due to the need to identify task-specific uncertainties (e.g., about the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

Accurate estimation of uncertainty in deep learning is critical for deploying models in high-stakes domains such as medical diagnosis and autonomous decision-making, where overconfident predictions can lead to harmful outcomes. In practice,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Xinran Xu , Xiuyi Fan

Numerous methods have been proposed to adapt a pre-trained foundational CLIP model for few-shot classification. As CLIP is trained on a large corpus, it generalises well through adaptation to few-shot classification. In this work, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Alexey Kravets , Vinay Namboodiri

Predicting transcriptional responses to novel drugs provides a unique opportunity to accelerate biomedical research and advance drug discovery efforts. However, the inherent complexity and high dimensionality of cellular responses, combined…

Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (e.g., say "I don't know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective models can be effective at producing more accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Adam Fisch , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Accurately estimating model performance poses a significant challenge, particularly in scenarios where the source and target domains follow different data distributions. Most existing performance prediction methods heavily rely on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Ekaterina Khramtsova , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh , Guido Zuccon , Xi Wang , Mathieu Salzmann

Behavioral Foundation Models (BFMs) proved successful in producing policies for arbitrary tasks in a zero-shot manner, requiring no test-time training or task-specific fine-tuning. Among the most promising BFMs are the ones that estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Maksim Bobrin , Ilya Zisman , Alexander Nikulin , Vladislav Kurenkov , Dmitry Dylov

Conformal prediction methods are statistical tools designed to quantify uncertainty and generate predictive sets with guaranteed coverage probabilities. This work introduces an innovative refinement to these methods for classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Mohamed Hebiri , Joseph Salmon

Faithfully correcting factual errors is critical for maintaining the integrity of textual knowledge bases and preventing hallucinations in sequence-to-sequence models. Drawing on humans' ability to identify and correct factual errors, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Kung-Hsiang Huang , Hou Pong Chan , Heng Ji
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