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Neural posterior estimation (NPE) and neural likelihood estimation (NLE) are machine learning approaches that provide accurate posterior, and likelihood, approximations in complex modeling scenarios, and in situations where conducting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 David T. Frazier , Ryan Kelly , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Warne

Estimation of causal effects is the core objective of many scientific disciplines. However, it remains a challenging task, especially when the effects are estimated from observational data. Recently, several promising machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Niki Kiriakidou , Christos Diou

Locally interpretable model agnostic explanations (LIME) method is one of the most popular methods used to explain black-box models at a per example level. Although many variants have been proposed, few provide a simple way to produce high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Amit Dhurandhar , Karthikeyan Ramamurthy , Kartik Ahuja , Vijay Arya

Estimating causal effects from observational data is inherently challenging due to the lack of observable counterfactual outcomes and even the presence of unmeasured confounding. Traditional methods often rely on restrictive, untestable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Active learning (AL) concerns itself with learning a model from as few labelled data as possible through actively and iteratively querying an oracle with selected unlabelled samples. In this paper, we focus on analyzing a popular type of AL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Minjie Xu , Gary Kazantsev

Auto Feature Engineering (AFE) plays a crucial role in developing practical machine learning pipelines by automating the transformation of raw data into meaningful features that enhance model performance. By generating features in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Tatsuya Matsukawa , Tomohiro Shiraishi , Shuichi Nishino , Teruyuki Katsuoka , Ichiro Takeuchi

Estimation and inference for the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a cornerstone of causal inference and often serves as the foundation for developing procedures for more complicated settings. Although traditionally analyzed in a batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

We present new methods to estimate causal effects retrospectively from micro data with the assistance of a machine learning ensemble. This approach overcomes two important limitations in conventional methods like regression modeling or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Cyrus Samii , Laura Paler , Sarah Zukerman Daly

Approximate probabilistic inference algorithms are central to many fields. Examples include sequential Monte Carlo inference in robotics, variational inference in machine learning, and Markov chain Monte Carlo inference in statistics. A key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Causal mediation analysis with random interventions has become an area of significant interest for understanding time-varying effects with longitudinal and survival outcomes. To tackle causal and statistical challenges due to the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Zeyi Wang , Lars van der Laan , Maya Petersen , Thomas Gerds , Kajsa Kvist , Mark van der Laan

This paper discusses the fundamental principles of causal inference - the area of statistics that estimates the effect of specific occurrences, treatments, interventions, and exposures on a given outcome from experimental and observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Francesca Dominici , Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Fabrizia Mealli

Distributed statistical inference has recently attracted immense attention. The asymptotic efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the one-step MLE, and the aggregated estimating equation estimator are established for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Ping Zhou , Zhen Yu , Jingyi Ma , Maozai Tian , Ye Fan

In the context of human-in-the-loop Machine Learning applications, like Decision Support Systems, interpretability approaches should provide actionable insights without making the users wait. In this paper, we propose Accelerated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 David Dandolo , Chiara Masiero , Mattia Carletti , Davide Dalle Pezze , Gian Antonio Susto

Machine learning is currently undergoing an explosion in capability, popularity, and sophistication. However, one of the major barriers to widespread acceptance of machine learning (ML) is trustworthiness: most ML models operate as black…

This paper addresses the long-standing challenge of estimating the leverage effect from high-frequency data contaminated by dependent, non-Gaussian microstructure noise. We depart from the conventional reliance on pre-averaging or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Ziyang Xiong , Zhao Chen , Christina Dan Wang

In Official Statistics, interest for data integration has been increasingly growing, due to the need of extracting information from different sources. However, the effects of these procedures on the validity of the resulting statistical…

Case-based reasoning networks are machine-learning models that make predictions based on similarity between the input and prototypical parts of training samples, called prototypes. Such models are able to explain each decision by pointing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Jules Soria , Zakaria Chihani , Julien Girard-Satabin , Alban Grastien , Romain Xu-Darme , Daniela Cancila

While many areas of machine learning have benefited from the increasing availability of large and varied datasets, the benefit to causal inference has been limited given the strong assumptions needed to ensure identifiability of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-02 Wenshuo Guo , Serena Wang , Peng Ding , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

We consider the challenges associated with causal inference in settings where data from a randomized trial is augmented with control data from an external source to improve efficiency in estimating the average treatment effect (ATE).…

Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular technique used to increase the interpretability and explainability of black box Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. LIME typically generates an explanation for a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Muhammad Rehman Zafar , Naimul Mefraz Khan