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Recently, there has been rising interest in Bayesian optimization -- the optimization of an unknown function with assumptions usually expressed by a Gaussian Process (GP) prior. We study an optimization strategy that directly uses an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-14 Zi Wang , Bolei Zhou , Stefanie Jegelka

An important task of uncertainty quantification is to identify {the probability of} undesired events, in particular, system failures, caused by various sources of uncertainties. In this work we consider the construction of Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Hongqiao Wang , Guang Lin , Jinglai Li

Bayesian optimization has become a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many problems where sample efficiency is of paramount importance. Recently, there has been proposed a large number of new applications in fields such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Ruben Martinez-Cantin

Constant Liar (CL), Kriging Believer (KB), and fantasy models are widely used for batch selection in parallel Bayesian Optimization, yet a unified theory explaining their effectiveness and conditions under which they fail has been lacking.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Kumbha Nagaswetha , Rabi Pathak

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used method for data-driven optimization that generally relies on zeroth-order data of objective function to construct probabilistic surrogate models. These surrogates guide the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Georgios Makrygiorgos , Joshua Hang Sai Ip , Ali Mesbah

Bayesian optimization is an effective method for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. High-dimensional problems are particularly challenging as the surrogate model of the objective suffers from the curse of dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Erik Orm Hellsten , Carl Hvarfner , Leonard Papenmeier , Luigi Nardi

We propose a new uncertainty estimator for gradient-free optimisation of black-box simulators using deep generative surrogate models. Optimisation of these simulators is especially challenging for stochastic simulators and higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Tigran Ramazyan , Mikhail Hushchyn , Denis Derkach

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is used to find the global optima of black box functions. In this work, we propose a practical BO method of function compositions where the form of the composition is known but the constituent functions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Kunal Jain , Prabuchandran K. J. , Tejas Bodas

Optimizing expensive black-box objectives over mixed search spaces is a common challenge across the natural sciences. Bayesian optimization (BO) offers sample-efficient strategies through probabilistic surrogate models and acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Yuhao Zhang , Ti John , Matthias Stosiek , Patrick Rinke

Multi-fidelity optimization employs surrogate models that integrate information from varying levels of fidelity to guide efficient exploration of complex design spaces while minimizing the reliance on (expensive) high-fidelity objective…

Bayesian optimization (BO) with Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models is a powerful black-box optimization method. Acquisition functions are a critical part of a BO algorithm as they determine how the new samples are selected. Some of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Jingyi Wang , Haowei Wang , Cosmin G. Petra , Nai-Yuan Chiang

We consider the problem of optimizing expensive black-box functions over high-dimensional combinatorial spaces which arises in many science, engineering, and ML applications. We use Bayesian Optimization (BO) and propose a novel surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Aryan Deshwal , Sebastian Ament , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy , Janardhan Rao Doppa , David Eriksson

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular approach for sample-efficient optimization of black-box objective functions. While BO has been successfully applied to a wide range of scientific applications, traditional approaches to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Natalie Maus , Kaiwen Wu , David Eriksson , Jacob Gardner

Bayesian optimization is a popular framework for efficiently tackling black-box search problems. As a rule, these algorithms operate by iteratively choosing what to evaluate next until some predefined budget has been exhausted. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-12 James T. Wilson

In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-13 Joan Gonzalvez , Edmond Lezmi , Thierry Roncalli , Jiali Xu

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

Bayesian optimization is a popular formalism for global optimization, but its computational costs limit it to expensive-to-evaluate functions. A competing, computationally more efficient, global optimization framework is optimistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Julia Grosse , Cheng Zhang , Philipp Hennig

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient optimization algorithm widely employed across various applications. In some challenging BO tasks, input uncertainty arises due to the inevitable randomness in the optimization process, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Lin Yang , Junlong Lyu , Wenlong Lyu , Zhitang Chen

We present a data-driven Bayesian nonparametric approach for global optimization (DaBNO) of stochastic black-box function. The function value depends on the distribution of a random vector. However, this distribution is usually complex and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Haowei Wang , Xun Zhang , Szu Hui Ng , Songhao Wang