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In this work, we introduce a novel class of adaptive Monte Carlo methods, called adaptive independent sticky MCMC algorithms, for efficient sampling from a generic target probability density function (pdf). The new class of algorithms…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-09 L. Martino , R. Casarin , F. Leisen , D. Luengo

Uncertainty estimation is an important research area to make deep neural networks (DNNs) more trustworthy. While extensive research on uncertainty estimation has been conducted with unimodal data, uncertainty estimation for multimodal data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Myong Chol Jung , He Zhao , Joanna Dipnall , Lan Du

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

Traditional implicit generative models are capable of learning highly complex data distributions. However, their training involves distinguishing real data from synthetically generated data using adversarial discriminators, which can lead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 José Manuel de Frutos , Manuel A. Vázquez , Pablo Olmos , Joaquín Míguez

This work describes a domain embedding technique between two non-matching meshes used for generating realizations of spatially correlated random fields with applications to large-scale sampling-based uncertainty quantification. The goal is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-20 Sarah Osborn , Patrick Zulian , Thomas Benson , Umberto Villa , Rolf Krause , Panayot S. Vassilevski

We propose a novel method to learn intractable distributions from their samples. The main idea is to use a parametric distribution model, such as a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), to approximate intractable distributions by minimizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Chenqiu Zhao , Guanfang Dong , Anup Basu

Computational image reconstruction algorithms generally produce a single image without any measure of uncertainty or confidence. Regularized Maximum Likelihood (RML) and feed-forward deep learning approaches for inverse problems typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 He Sun , Katherine L. Bouman

In this report, we present qualitative analysis of Monte Carlo (MC) dropout method for measuring model uncertainty in neural network (NN) models. We first consider the sources of uncertainty in NNs, and briefly review Bayesian Neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-06 Ronald Seoh

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Deep neural networks (DNNs) often suffer from "catastrophic forgetting" during incremental learning (IL) --- an abrupt degradation of performance on the original set of classes when the training objective is adapted to a newly added set of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Junting Zhang , Jie Zhang , Shalini Ghosh , Dawei Li , Serafettin Tasci , Larry Heck , Heming Zhang , C. -C. Jay Kuo

Bayesian inference for doubly-intractable pairwise exponential graphical models typically involves variations of the exchange algorithm or approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers. However, existing methods for both classes of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-30 Yujie Chen , Antik Chakraborty , Anindya Bhadra

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Estimating high-quality images while also quantifying their uncertainty are two desired features in an image reconstruction algorithm for solving ill-posed inverse problems. In this paper, we propose plug-and-play Monte Carlo (PMC) as a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-29 Yu Sun , Zihui Wu , Yifan Chen , Berthy T. Feng , Katherine L. Bouman

Seismic imaging from sparsely acquired data faces challenges such as low image quality, discontinuities, and migration swing artifacts. Existing convolutional neural network (CNN)-based methods struggle with complex feature distributions…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-01 Xingchen Shi , Shijun Cheng , Weijian Mao , Wei Ouyang

Recent advances in the fields of robotics and automation have spurred significant interest in robust state estimation. To enable robust state estimation, several methodologies have been proposed. One such technique, which has shown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

The past several years have seen remarkable progress in generative models which produce convincing samples of images and other modalities. A shared component of many powerful generative models is a decoder network, a parametric deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-08 Yuhuai Wu , Yuri Burda , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Roger Grosse

Measurement of uncertainty of predictions from machine learning methods is important across scientific domains and applications. We present, to our knowledge, the first such technique that quantifies the uncertainty of predictions from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-04 Alex Hagen , Karl Pazdernik , Nicole LaHaye , Marjolein Oostrom

A recent line of research has exploited pre-trained generative diffusion models as priors for solving Bayesian inverse problems. We contribute to this research direction by designing a sequential Monte Carlo method for linear-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Filip Ekström Kelvinius , Zheng Zhao , Fredrik Lindsten

We develop a theoretical framework for studying numerical estimation of lower previsions, generally applicable to two-level Monte Carlo methods, importance sampling methods, and a wide range of other sampling methods one might devise. We…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-12 Matthias C. M. Troffaes

Bayesian inference of Gibbs random fields (GRFs) is often referred to as a doubly intractable problem, since the likelihood function is intractable. The exploration of the posterior distribution of such models is typically carried out with…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-16 Aidan Boland , Nial Friel , Florian Maire
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