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We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Recent years saw an increased interest in modeling and understanding the mechanisms of opinion and innovation spread through human networks. Using analysis of real-world social data, researchers are able to gain a better understanding of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Ajay Saini , Natasha Markuzon

We present a detailed investigation of the behavior of the nonlinear q-voter model for opinion dynamics. At the mean-field level we derive analytically, for any value of the number q of agents involved in the elementary update, the phase…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Paolo Moretti , Suyu Liu , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We introduce and study the block voter model with noise on two-dimensional square lattices using Monte Carlo simulations and finite-size scaling techniques. The model is defined by an outflow dynamics where a central set of $N_{PCS}$ spins,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-30 C. I. N. Sampaio , F. G. B. Moreira

Consider an undirected graph G, representing a social network, where each node is blue or red, corresponding to positive or negative opinion on a topic. In the voter model, in discrete time rounds, each node picks a neighbour uniformly at…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Abhiram Manohara , Ahad N. Zehmakan

Deep Q-learning has achieved significant success in single-agent decision making tasks. However, it is challenging to extend Q-learning to large-scale multi-agent scenarios, due to the explosion of action space resulting from the complex…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Ming Zhou , Yong Chen , Ying Wen , Yaodong Yang , Yufeng Su , Weinan Zhang , Dell Zhang , Jun Wang

We consider the problem of identifying coordinated influence campaigns conducted by automated agents or bots in a social network. We study several different Twitter datasets which contain such campaigns and find that the bots exhibit…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-28 Nicolas Guenon des Mesnards , Tauhid Zaman

Opinion dynamics concerns social processes through which populations or groups of individuals agree or disagree on specific issues. As such, modelling opinion dynamics represents an important research area that has been progressively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-06 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

In this study, I present a theoretical social learning model to investigate how confirmation bias affects opinions when agents exchange information over a social network. Hence, besides exchanging opinions with friends, agents observe a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-27 Marcos R. Fernandes

Found in varied contexts from neurons to ants to fish, binary decision-making is one of the simplest forms of collective computation. In this process, information collected by individuals about an uncertain environment is accumulated to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-26 Bryan C. Daniels , Pawel Romanczuk

To know which operators to apply and in which order, as well as attributing good values to their parameters is a challenge for users of computer vision. This paper proposes a solution to this problem as a multi-agent system modeled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-26 Issam Qaffou , Mohamed Sadgal , Abdelaziz Elfazziki

Users trust algorithms more when they can predict the algorithms' behavior. Simple algorithms trivially yield predictively accurate mental models, but modern AI algorithms have often been assumed too complex for people to build predictive…

Public opinion is subject to peer interaction via social networks and external pressure from the media, advertising, and other actors. In this paper, we study the interaction between external and peer influence on the stochastic opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-31 Niels Van Santen , Jan Ryckebusch , Luis E. C. Rocha

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

An important problem in computational social choice theory is the complexity of undesirable behavior among agents, such as control, manipulation, and bribery in election systems. These kinds of voting strategies are often tempting at the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-04-20 Andrew Lin

A complex network is a condensed representation of the relational topological framework of a complex system. A main reason for the existence of such networks is the transmission of items through the entities of these complex systems. Here,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-18 María Pereda , Ernesto Estrada

In many instances of election, the electorate appears to be a composite of partisan and independent voters. Given that partisans are not likely to convert to a different party, a main goal for a party could be to mobilize independent voters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-31 Naoki Masuda

Cascading failure studies help assess and enhance the robustness of power systems against severe power outages. Onset time is a critical parameter in the analysis and management of power system stability and reliability, representing the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-04 Samita Rani Pani , Pallav Kumar Bera , Rajat Kanti Samal

We study opinion dynamics on networks with a nontrivial community structure, assuming individuals can update their binary opinion as the result of the interactions with an external influence with strength $h\in [0,1]$ and with other…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Simone Baldassarri , Anna Gallo , Vanessa Jacquier , Alessandro Zocca