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Related papers: Quickest Change Detection in Autoregressive Models

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Observer-based methods are widely used to estimate the disturbances of different dynamic systems. However, a drawback of the conventional disturbance observers is that they all assume persistent excitation (PE) of the systems. As a result,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-07 Zengjie Zhang , Fangzhou Liu , Tong Liu , Jianbin Qiu , Martin Buss

This study proposes a deep learning model that effectively suppresses the false alarms in the intensive care units (ICUs) without ignoring the true alarms using single- and multimodal biosignals. Most of the current work in the literature…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Sajad Mousavi , Atiyeh Fotoohinasab , Fatemeh Afghah

Continuous-time approximation of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is a crucial tool to study its escaping behaviors from stationary points. However, existing stochastic differential equation (SDE) models fail to fully capture these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-04 Xiang Li , Zebang Shen , Liang Zhang , Niao He

We investigate the problem of covert quickest change detection in a Bayesian and infinite-horizon setting. A legitimate entity seeks to detect a change in the state of a discrete memoryless channel as quickly as possible by actively probing…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yun-Feng Lo , Matthieu R. Bloch

We present safe control of partially-observed linear time-varying systems in the presence of unknown and unpredictable process and measurement noise. We introduce a control algorithm that minimizes dynamic regret, i.e., that minimizes the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-03 Hongyu Zhou , Vasileios Tzoumas

Consistency Models (CMs) have shown promise for efficient one-step generation. However, most existing CMs rely on manually designed discretization schemes, which can cause repeated adjustments for different noise schedules and datasets. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Jiayu Bai , Zhanbo Feng , Zhijie Deng , Tianqi Hou , Robert C. Qiu , Zenan Ling

This paper combines data-driven and model-driven methods for real-time misinformation detection. Our algorithm, named QuickStop, is an optimal stopping algorithm based on a probabilistic information spreading model obtained from labeled…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Honghao Wei , Xiaohan Kang , Weina Wang , Lei Ying

In a real life process evolving over time, the relationship between its relevant variables may change. Therefore, it is advantageous to have different inference models for each state of the process. Asymmetric hidden Markov models fulfil…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

High-dimensional linear regression under heavy-tailed noise or outlier corruption is challenging, both computationally and statistically. Convex approaches have been proven statistically optimal but suffer from high computational costs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Yinan Shen , Jingyang Li , Jian-Feng Cai , Dong Xia

Many real-world datasets, such as healthcare, climate, and economics, are often collected as irregular time series, which poses challenges for accurate modeling. In this paper, we propose the Amortized Control of continuous State Space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Byoungwoo Park , Hyungi Lee , Juho Lee

The quickest change detection problem is considered in the context of monitoring large-scale independent normal distributed data streams with possible changes in some of the means. It is assumed that for each individual local data stream,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Yuan Wang , Yajun Mei

In this paper we consider the problem of quickly detecting changes in an intermittent signal that can (repeatedly) switch between a normal and an anomalous state. We pose this intermittent signal detection problem as an optimal stopping…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Jasmin James , Jason J. Ford , Timothy L. Molloy

We study the parametric online changepoint detection problem, where the underlying distribution of the streaming data changes from a known distribution to an alternative that is of a known parametric form but with unknown parameters. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-22 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

We present a model-based approach to learning robust runtime monitors for autonomous systems. Runtime monitors play a crucial role in raising the level of assurance by observing system behavior and predicting potential safety violations. In…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Antonina Skurka , Luko van der Maas , Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah

The problem of quickest change detection in a sequence of independent observations is considered. The pre-change distribution is assumed to be known, while the post-change distribution is unknown. Two tests based on post-change density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

A finite-horizon variant of the quickest change detection problem is investigated, which is motivated by a change detection problem that arises in piecewise stationary bandits. The goal is to minimize the \emph{latency}, which is smallest…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Yu-Han Huang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

A quickest change detection problem is considered in a sensor network with observations whose statistical dependency structure across the sensors before and after the change is described by a decomposable graphical model (DGM). Distributed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Yicheng Chen , Rick S. Blum , Brian M. Sadler

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a $n\times p$ random matrix based on a sequence of observations having a single unknown change point is considered. The forms of the pre- and post-change distributions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Taposh Banerjee , Hamed Firouzi , Alfred O. Hero