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Recently, conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation has been attracting much attention due to its importance in various fields such as statistics, social and biomedical sciences. This study proposes a partially linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-31 Shunsuke Horii

While significant progress has been made in conventional fairness-aware machine learning (ML) and differentially private ML (DPML), the fairness of privacy protection across groups remains underexplored. Existing studies have proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zhi Yang , Changwu Huang , Ke Tang , Xin Yao

There is a growing literature on design-based methods to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for full sample analyses. This article extends these methods to estimate ATEs for discrete subgroups…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Peter Z. Schochet

The Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATT) is a common causal parameter defined as the average effect of a binary treatment among the subset of the population receiving treatment. We propose a novel family of parameters, Generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Herbert Susmann , Nicholas T. Williams , Kara E. Rudolph , Iván Díaz

A canonical desideratum for prediction problems is that performance guarantees should hold not just on average over the population, but also for meaningful subpopulations within the overall population. But what constitutes a meaningful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Jessica Dai , Nika Haghtalab , Eric Zhao

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

With medical tests becoming increasingly available, concerns about over-testing and over-treatment dramatically increase. Hence, it is important to understand the influence of testing on treatment selection in general practice. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Yun Li , Irina Bondarenko , Michael R. Elliott , Timothy P. Hofer , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

In this paper, we propose a general subgroup analysis framework based on semiparametric additive mixed effect models in longitudinal analysis, which can identify subgroups on each covariate and estimate the corresponding regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Xiaolin Bo , Weiping Zhang

Manski's nonparametric bounds partially identify the average treatment effects (ATEs) under minimal assumptions, yielding an interval-valued estimand with endpoints that depend on the outcome support - typically treated as known or fixed.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Grace Lordan , Kaveh Salehzadeh Nobari

We develop a new approach for estimating average treatment effects in observational studies with unobserved group-level heterogeneity. We consider a general model with group-level unconfoundedness and provide conditions under which…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-31 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Guido Imbens

In many practical situations, randomly assigning treatments to subjects is uncommon due to feasibility constraints. For example, economic aid programs and merit-based scholarships are often restricted to those meeting specific income or…

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential in medical AI. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) offers a computationally efficient way to quantify model uncertainty alongside predictions, unlike traditional methods such as Monte Carlo…

In observational studies, confounding variables affect both treatment and outcome. Moreover, instrumental variables also influence the treatment assignment mechanism. This situation sets the study apart from a standard randomized controlled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Atomsa Gemechu Abdisa , Yingchun Zhou , Yuqi Qiu

The existing core methods, which are employed by the popular CTL model checking tools, are facing the famous state explode problem. In our previous study, a method based on the Machine Learning (ML) algorithms was proposed to address this…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Weijun ZHU

This paper extends difference-in-differences to settings with continuous treatments. Specifically, the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) at any level of treatment intensity is identified under a conditional parallel trends…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-05 Lucas Z. Zhang

We consider a randomized controlled trial between two groups. The objective is to identify a population with characteristics such that the test therapy is more effective than the control therapy. Such a population is called a subgroup. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-06 Shintaro Yuki , Kensuke Tanioka , Hiroshi Yadohisa

Although machine learning approaches have been widely used in the field of finance, to very successful degrees, these approaches remain bespoke to specific investigations and opaque in terms of explainability, comparability, and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Artur Sokolovsky , Luca Arnaboldi

While many machine learning methods have been used for medical prediction and risk factor analysis on healthcare data, most prior research has involved single-task learning (STL) methods. However, healthcare research often involves multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Lu Wang , Haoyan Jiang , Mark Chignell

We study heterogeneity in the effect of a mindset intervention on student-level performance through an observational dataset from the National Study of Learning Mindsets (NSLM). Our analysis uses machine learning (ML) to address the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-16 Fredrik D. Johansson

We consider the problem of variance reduction in randomized controlled trials, through the use of covariates correlated with the outcome but independent of the treatment. We propose a machine learning regression-adjusted treatment effect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-07 Yongyi Guo , Dominic Coey , Mikael Konutgan , Wenting Li , Chris Schoener , Matt Goldman