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We study the problem of estimating linear response statistics under external perturbations using time series of unperturbed dynamics. Based on the fluctuation-dissipation theory, this problem is reformulated as an unsupervised learning task…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

Time-series classification is essential across diverse domains, including medical diagnosis, industrial monitoring, financial forecasting, and human activity recognition. The Rocket algorithm has emerged as a simple yet powerful method,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-25 Jorge Marco-Blanco , Rubén Cuevas

In recent years, samples of time-varying object data such as time-varying networks that are not in a vector space have been increasingly collected. These data can be viewed as elements of a general metric space that lacks local or global…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-12 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

We study the estimation and prediction of functional autoregressive~(FAR) processes, a statistical tool for modeling functional time series data. Due to the infinite-dimensional nature of FAR processes, the existing literature addresses its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Rebecca Willett , Chun Yip Yau

We study a functional linear regression model that deals with functional responses and allows for both functional covariates and high-dimensional vector covariates. The proposed model is flexible and nests several functional regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu , Rebecca Willett

Consider the problem: given the data pair $(\mathbf{x}, \mathbf{y})$ drawn from a population with $f_*(x) = \mathbf{E}[\mathbf{y} | \mathbf{x} = x]$, specify a neural network model and run gradient flow on the weights over time until…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Xialiang Dou , Tengyuan Liang

The main purpose is to estimate the regression function of a real random variable with functional explanatory variable by using a recursive nonparametric kernel approach. The mean square error and the almost sure convergence of a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Aboubacar Amiri , Christophe Crambes , Baba Thiam

Random Fourier Features (RFF) demonstrate wellappreciated performance in kernel approximation for largescale situations but restrict kernels to be stationary and positive definite. And for non-stationary kernels, the corresponding RFF could…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Qin Luo , Kun Fang , Jie Yang , Xiaolin Huang

We study the estimation problem of distribution-on-distribution regression, where both predictors and responses are probability measures. Existing approaches typically rely on a global optimal transport map or tangent-space linearization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-17 Inga Girshfeld , Xiaohui Chen

We present a general nonlinear Bayesian filter for high-dimensional state estimation using the theory of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Applying kernel method and the representer theorem to perform linear quadratic estimation in a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Kan Li , Jose C. Principe

Nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction\citep{libing_generalSDR}, which constructs nonlinear low-dimensional representations to summarize essential features of high-dimensional data, is an important branch of representation learning.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-24 Hang Yuan , Christina Dan Wang , Zhou Yu

Motivated by the surge of interest in Koopman operator theory, we propose a machine-learning alternative based on a functional Bayesian perspective for operator-theoretic modeling of unknown, data-driven, nonlinear dynamical systems. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Kan Li , José C. Príncipe

We consider the problem of predicting a real random variable from a functional explanatory variable. The problem is attacked by mean of nonparametric kernel approach which has been recently adapted to this functional context. We derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Frédéric Ferraty , André Mas , Philippe Vieu

Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is widely used for nonparametric regression over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. It offers powerful modeling capabilities at the cost of significant computational costs, which typically require $O(n^3)$…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Xiaowu Dai , Huiying Zhong

We provide adaptive inference methods, based on $\ell_1$ regularization, for regular (semi-parametric) and non-regular (nonparametric) linear functionals of the conditional expectation function. Examples of regular functionals include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney Newey , Rahul Singh

A complete understanding of heterogeneous treatment effects involves characterizing the full conditional distribution of potential outcomes. To this end, we propose the Conditional Counterfactual Mean Embeddings (CCME), a framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Thatchanon Anancharoenkij , Donlapark Ponnoprat

Kernel methods approximate nonlinear maps in a data-driven manner by projecting the target map onto a finite-dimensional Hilbert space called the solution space. Traditionally, this space is a subspace of a fixed ambient reproducing kernel…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Tamás Dózsa , Andrea Angino , Zoltán Szabó , József Bokor , Matthias Voigt

Counterfactual inference has become a ubiquitous tool in online advertisement, recommendation systems, medical diagnosis, and econometrics. Accurate modeling of outcome distributions associated with different interventions -- known as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Krikamol Muandet , Motonobu Kanagawa , Sorawit Saengkyongam , Sanparith Marukatat

We demonstrate an equivalence between reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embeddings of conditional distributions and vector-valued regressors. This connection introduces a natural regularized loss function which the RKHS embeddings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-25 Steffen Grünewälder , Guy Lever , Luca Baldassarre , Sam Patterson , Arthur Gretton , Massimilano Pontil

This paper presents a new methodology, called AFSSEN, to simultaneously select significant predictors and produce smooth estimates in a high-dimensional function-on-scalar linear model with a sub-Gaussian errors. Outcomes are assumed to lie…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-27 Ardalan Mirshani , Matthew Reimherr