Related papers: Conditioned local limit theorems for products of p…

In this paper we study several aspects of the growth of a supercritical Galton-Watson process {Z_n:n\ge1}, and bring out some criticality phenomena determined by the Schroder constant. We develop the local limit theory of Z_n, that is, the…

Let $(X_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable state space $X$, and let $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n f(X_k)$ be the associated Markov walk. For $y>0$, denote by $\tau_y$ the first time at which $y+S_n$ becomes non-positive. Assuming that the…

Consider a critical branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$. Let $Z^{(n)}(A)$ be the number of individuals in the $n$-th generation located in $A\in \mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R})$ and $Z_{n}:=Z^{(n)}(\mathbb{R})$ denote the population of the $n$-th…

For a positive self-similar Markov process, X, we construct a local time for the random set, $\Theta$, of times where the process reaches its past supremum. Using this local time we describe an exit system for the excursions of X out of its…

We consider a real random variable X represented through a random pair of real random variables (R,T) and a deterministic function u as X=Ru(T). Under some additional assumptions, we prove a limit theorem for (R,T) given X>x, as x tends to…

The asymptotics of the probability that the self-intersection local time of a random walk on $\Z^d$ exceeds its expectation by a large amount is a fascinating subject because of its relation to some models from Statistical Mechanics, to…

Given a collection of independent events each of which has strictly positive probability, the probability that all of them occur is also strictly positive. The Lov\'asz local lemma (LLL) asserts that this remains true if the events are not…

A well-known conjecture in analytic number theory states that for every pair of sets $X,Y\subset\mathbb{Z}/p\mathbb{Z}$, each of size at least $\log ^C p$ (for some constant $C$) we have that the number of pairs $(x,y)\in X\times Y$ such…

For normalized sums $Z_n$ of i.i.d. random variables, we explore necessary and sufficient conditions which guarantee the normal approximation with respect to the R\'enyi divergence of infinite order. In terms of densities $p_n$ of $Z_n$,…

Directed information and its causally conditioned variations are often used to measure causal influences between random processes. In practice, these quantities must be measured from data. Non-asymptotic error bounds for these estimates are…

This paper provides counterexamples to a previously conjectured upper bound on the first index $n_0$ at which a zero appears in constant term sequences of the form $A_p(n) = ct(P^n) \mod p$, where $P(t) \in \mathbb{Z}[t, t^{-1}]$. The…

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

We prove a local law for eigenvalues of the random Hermitian matrices with external source $W_n=\frac{1}{n}X_n+A_n$ where $X_n$ is Wigner matrix and $A_n$ is diagonal matrix with only two values $a, -a$ on the diagonal. The local law is an…

We consider a one-dimensional random walk $S_n$ having i.i.d. increments with zero mean and finite variance. We continue our study of asymptotic expansions for local probabilities $\mathbf P(S_n=x,\tau_0>n)$, which has been started in…

Bruss's odds theorem \cite{Bruss1} addresses the problem of determining the optimal stopping time for sequences of independent indicator functions. In this note, we derive upper and lower bounds for the success probability under the optimal…

We prove a conjecture of D. Gaiotto on positivity of inner products arising in studying Landau-Ginzburg boundary conditions in the 1-dimensional case, and in special cases in higher dimensions, for 3d free hypermultiplets.

A locally threshold testable language L is a language with the property that for some non negative integers k and l, whether or not a word u is in the language L depends on (1) the prefix and suffix of the word u of length k > 1 and (2) the…

In this paper, we develop a general approach to proving global and local uniform limit theorems for the Horvitz-Thompson empirical process arising from complex sampling designs. Global theorems such as Glivenko-Cantelli and Donsker…

A central limit theorem is established for a sum of random variables belonging to a sequence of random fields. The fields are assumed to have zero mean conditional on the past history and to satisfy certain conditional $\alpha$-mixing…

In this paper we study the exponential decay of posterior probability of a set of sources and conditioning by rare sources for both uniform and general prior distributions of sources. The decay rate is determined by $L$-divergence and rare…