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This paper is dedicated to the study of an estimator of the generalized Hoeffding decomposition. We build such an estimator using an empirical Gram-Schmidt approach and derive a consistency rate in a large dimensional settings. Then, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-10 Magali Champion , Gaëlle Chastaing , Sébastien Gadat , Clémentine Prieur

This paper develops a unified analytical framework for determinant identities under finite-rank perturbations of square matrices that remains valid without invertibility assumptions. In contrast to classical inverse-based formulations, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Robert Vrabel

We present a novel framework for estimation and inference with the broad class of universal approximators. Estimation is based on the decomposition of model predictions into Shapley values. Inference relies on analyzing the bias and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Andreas Joseph

The problem of comparing concepts of dependence in general rough sets with those in probability theory had been initiated by the present author in some of her recent papers. This problem relates to the identification of the limitations of…

Logic · Mathematics 2018-04-09 A Mani

We consider the problem of identifying universal low-dimensional features from high-dimensional data for inference tasks in settings involving learning. For such problems, we introduce natural notions of universality and we show a local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Shao-Lun Huang , Anuran Makur , Gregory W. Wornell , Lizhong Zheng

We introduce a new compositional framework for generalized variational inference, clarifying the different parts of a model, how they interact, and how they compose. We explain that both exact Bayesian inference and the loss functions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-26 Toby St Clere Smithe , Marco Perin

Local explanation frameworks aim to rationalize particular decisions made by a black-box prediction model. Existing techniques are often restricted to a specific type of predictor or based on input saliency, which may be undesirably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Brandon Carter , Jonas Mueller , Siddhartha Jain , David Gifford

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis identifies the influential uncertain input to guide decision-making. We propose a general sensitivity framework with respect to the input distribution parameters that unifies a wide range of sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Jiannan Yang

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying the impact of input variability onto the variation of the response of a computational model. It has been widely applied to deterministic simulators, for which a set of input parameters has a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-01 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

We propose to interpret machine learning functions as physical observables, opening up the possibility to apply "standard" statistical-mechanical methods to outputs from neural networks. This includes histogram reweighting and finite-size…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-09-20 Gert Aarts , Dimitrios Bachtis , Biagio Lucini

As physics searches for invariants in observations, this paper looks for invariants of probabilistic observation without assuming physical structure. Structure emerges from the basic assumption of science that new information shall lead to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Johann Summhammer

We provide a systematic approach to deal with the following problem. Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be, possibly dependent, $[0,1]$-valued random variables. What is a sharp upper bound on the probability that their sum is significantly larger than…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

Interpretability is a pressing issue for machine learning. Common approaches to interpretable machine learning constrain interactions between features of the input, rendering the effects of those features on a model's output comprehensible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

Statistical inference for stochastic block models typically relies on the spectrum of the normalized adjacency matrix $\A^*$. In practice, the true probability matrix $\mathbf{B}$ is unknown and must be replaced by a plug-in estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Jianwei Hu , Ding Chen , Ji Zhu

Encoding and decoding models are widely used in systems, cognitive, and computational neuroscience to make sense of brain-activity data. However, the interpretation of their results requires care. Decoding models can help reveal whether…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-29 Nikolaus Kriegeskorte , Pamela K. Douglas

In the analysis of High-Energy Physics data, it is frequently desired to separate resonant signals from a smooth, non-resonant background. This paper introduces a new technique - functional decomposition (FD) - to accomplish this task. It…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-15 Ryan Edgar , Dante Amidei , Christopher Grud , Karishma Sekhon

This work is focussed on the inversion task of inferring the distribution over parameters of interest leading to multiple sets of observations. The potential to solve such distributional inversion problems is driven by increasing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart

We develop a design-based framework for causal inference that accommodates random potential outcomes without introducing outcome models, thereby extending the classical Neyman--Rubin paradigm in which outcomes are treated as fixed. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Yukai Yang

Tarski gave a general semantics for deductive reasoning: a formula a may be deduced from a set A of formulas iff a holds in all models in which each of the elements of A holds. A more liberal semantics has been considered: a formula a may…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lehmann

Sensitivity analysis is an important tool used in many domains of computational science to either gain insight into the mathematical model and interaction of its parameters or study the uncertainty propagation through the input-output…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Juraj Kardos , Wouter Edeling , Diana Suleimenova , Derek Groen , Olaf Schenk
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