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Using only retrospective data, we study the problem of predicting treatment effects for the same treatment/policy implemented in a different location or time period. We propose a distributionally robust estimator that minimizes the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-29 Ruonan Xu , Xiye Yang

In this paper we study the mincut problem in the online setting. We consider two distinct models: A) competitive analysis and B) regret analysis. In the competitive setting we consider the vertex arrival model; whenever a new vertex arrives…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Avah Banerjee , Guoli Ding

When data on treatment assignment, outcomes, and covariates from a randomized trial are available, a question of interest is to what extent covariates can be used to optimize treatment decisions. Statistical hypothesis testing of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-04 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Mohammad Ali Mansournia , Paul Gustafson

As the COVID-19 pandemic progresses, researchers are reporting findings of randomized trials comparing standard care with care augmented by experimental drugs. The trials have small sample sizes, so estimates of treatment effects are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-02 Charles F. Manski , Aleksey Tetenov

We consider challenges that arise in the estimation of the mean outcome under an optimal individualized treatment strategy defined as the treatment rule that maximizes the population mean outcome, where the candidate treatment rules are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

The stochastic multi-armed bandit problem is a well-known model for studying the exploration-exploitation trade-off. It has significant possible applications in adaptive clinical trials, which allow for dynamic changes in the treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Hossein Aboutalebi , Doina Precup , Tibor Schuster

We consider optimization of generalized performance metrics for binary classification by means of surrogate losses. We focus on a class of metrics, which are linear-fractional functions of the false positive and false negative rates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Wojciech Kotłowski , Krzysztof Dembczyński

We consider an online model for recommendation systems, with each user being recommended an item at each time-step and providing 'like' or 'dislike' feedback. Each user may be recommended a given item at most once. A latent variable model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-08 Guy Bresler , Mina Karzand

We consider the batch (off-line) policy learning problem in the infinite horizon Markov Decision Process. Motivated by mobile health applications, we focus on learning a policy that maximizes the long-term average reward. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Peng Liao , Zhengling Qi , Runzhe Wan , Predrag Klasnja , Susan Murphy

Bilateral trade is a central problem in algorithmic economics, and recent work has explored how to design trading mechanisms using no-regret learning algorithms. However, no-regret learning is impossible when budget balance has to be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Anna Lunghi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi

Making judicious channel access and transmission scheduling decisions is essential for improving performance as well as energy and spectral efficiency in multichannel wireless systems. This problem has been a subject of extensive study in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-07 Yang Liu , Mingyan Liu

We develop a mathematical framework to define an optimal individualized treatment rule (ITR) within the context of prioritized outcomes in a randomized controlled trial. Our optimality criterion is based on the framework of generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 François Petit , Gérard Biau , Raphaël Porcher

Policy regret is a well established notion of measuring the performance of an online learning algorithm against an adaptive adversary. We study restrictions on the adversary that enable efficient minimization of the \emph{complete policy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-26 Dhruv Malik , Yuanzhi Li , Aarti Singh

We study sequential testing for a binary disease outcome when risk follows an unknown logistic model. At each round, the decision maker may either pay for a test revealing the true label or predict the outcome based on patient features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Tavor Z. Baharav , Spyros Dragazis , Aldo Pacchiano

We consider model selection in stochastic bandit and reinforcement learning problems. Given a set of base learning algorithms, an effective model selection strategy adapts to the best learning algorithm in an online fashion. We show that by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Aldo Pacchiano , My Phan

Motivated by practical federated learning settings where clients may not be always available, we investigate a variant of distributed online optimization where agents are active with a known probability $p$ at each time step, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Juliette Achddou , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Hao Qiu

This research considers the ranking and selection (R&S) problem of selecting the optimal subset from a finite set of alternative designs. Given the total simulation budget constraint, we aim to maximize the probability of correctly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Fei Gao , Zhongshun Shi , Siyang Gao , Hui Xiao

Explicit and implicit bias clouds human judgement, leading to discriminatory treatment of minority groups. A fundamental goal of algorithmic fairness is to avoid the pitfalls in human judgement by learning policies that improve the overall…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Yuzi He , Keith Burghardt , Siyi Guo , Kristina Lerman

We consider sequential decision making in a setting where regret is measured with respect to a set of stateful reference policies, and feedback is limited to observing the rewards of the actions performed (the so called "bandit" setting).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-30 Uriel Feige , Tomer Koren , Moshe Tennenholtz

In this work, we propose a computationally efficient algorithm for the problem of global optimization in univariate loss functions. For the performance evaluation, we study the cumulative regret of the algorithm instead of the simple regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu
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