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We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

In this paper, we introduce a new class of distributions by compounding the exponentiated extended Weibull family and power series family. This distribution contains several lifetime models such as the complementary extended Weibull-power…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-03-31 Saeid Tahmasebi , Ali Akbar Jafari

Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio , Timothé Krauth

Semiparametric exponential family proposed by Ning et al. (2017) is an extension of the parametric exponential family to the case with a nonparametric base measure function. Such a distribution family has potential application in some areas…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-01 Lu Lin , Lili Liu , Xia Cui

We propose and study properties of maximum likelihood estimators in the class of conditional transformation models. Based on a suitable explicit parameterisation of the unconditional or conditional transformation function, we establish a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-22 Torsten Hothorn , Lisa Möst , Peter Bühlmann

This paper investigates maximizers of the information divergence from an exponential family $E$. It is shown that the $rI$-projection of a maximizer $P$ to $E$ is a convex combination of $P$ and a probability measure $P_-$ with disjoint…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-18 Johannes Rauh

Generation of deviates from random graph models with non-trivial edge dependence is an increasingly important problem. Here, we introduce a method which allows perfect sampling from random graph models in exponential family form…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-07 Carter T. Butts

In this article we provide initial findings regarding the problem of solving likelihood equations by means of a maximum entropy approach. Unlike standard procedures that require equating at zero the score function of the maximum-likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-18 Antonio Calcagnì , Livio Finos , Gianmarco Altoè , Massimiliano Pastore

We present an algorithm based on maximum likelihood for the estimation and renormalization (marginalization) of exponential densities. The moment-matching problem resulting from the maximization of the likelihood is solved as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Panagiotis Stinis

In extreme values theory, for a sufficiently large block size, the maxima distribution is approximated by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The GEV distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions, which has…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Cira E. G. Otiniano , Bianca Sousa , Roberto Vila , Marcelo Bourguignon

Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Keegan Kang , Kerong Wang , Ding Zhang , Rameshwar Pratap , Bhisham Dev Verma , Benedict H. W. Wong

Variational inference is a popular technique to approximate a possibly intractable Bayesian posterior with a more tractable one. Recently, boosting variational inference has been proposed as a new paradigm to approximate the posterior by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-08 Francesco Locatello , Rajiv Khanna , Joydeep Ghosh , Gunnar Rätsch

We present an algorithm for a class of statistical inference problems. The main idea is to reformulate the inference problem as an optimization procedure, based on the generation of surrogate (auxiliary) functions. This approach is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Rodrigo Carvajal , Rafael Orellana , Dimitrios Katselis , Pedro Escárate , Juan. C. Agüero

This paper studies a class of exponential family models whose canonical parameters are specified as linear functionals of an unknown infinite-dimensional slope function. The optimal minimax rates of convergence for slope function estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-25 Winston Wei Dou , David Pollard , Harrison H. Zhou

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

The recently proposed Thermodynamic Variational Objective (TVO) leverages thermodynamic integration to provide a family of variational inference objectives, which both tighten and generalize the ubiquitous Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Rob Brekelmans , Vaden Masrani , Frank Wood , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

We propose an efficient algorithm for approximate computation of the profile maximum likelihood (PML), a variant of maximum likelihood maximizing the probability of observing a sufficient statistic rather than the empirical sample. The PML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-21 Dmitri S. Pavlichin , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

We study the variational inference problem of minimizing a regularized R\'enyi divergence over an exponential family. We propose to solve this problem with a Bregman proximal gradient algorithm. We propose a sampling-based algorithm to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Thomas Guilmeau , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

Hierarchical models represent a challenging setting for inference algorithms. MCMC methods struggle to scale to large models with many local variables and observations, and variational inference (VI) may fail to provide accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Tomas Geffner , Justin Domke

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Janis Keck
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