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The health impact of long-term exposure to air pollution is now routinely estimated using spatial ecological studies, due to the recent widespread availability of spatial referenced pollution and disease data. However, this areal unit study…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-16 Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

Conformalized Quantile Regression (CQR) is a recently proposed method for constructing prediction intervals for a response $Y$ given covariates $X$, without making distributional assumptions. However, existing constructions of CQR can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Raphael Rossellini , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

A key challenge in environmental health research is unmeasured spatial confounding, driven by unobserved spatially structured variables that influence both treatment and outcome. A common approach is to fit a spatial regression that models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Sophie M. Woodward , Francesca Dominici , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Spatial dependent data frequently occur in many fields such as spatial econometrics and epidemiology. To deal with the dependence of variables and estimate quantile-specific effects by covariates, spatial quantile autoregressive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Ping Dong , Jiawei Hou , Yunquan Song

Segmented regression models offer model flexibility and interpretability as compared to the global parametric and the nonparametric models, and yet are challenging in both estimation and inference. We consider a four-regime segmented model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Han Yan , Song Xi Chen

Analysis of geospatial data has traditionally been model-based, with a mean model, customarily specified as a linear regression on the covariates, and a covariance model, encoding the spatial dependence. We relax the strong assumption of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Wentao Zhan , Abhirup Datta

Cokriging is the common method of spatial interpolation (best linear unbiased prediction) in multivariate geostatistics. While best linear prediction has been well understood in univariate spatial statistics, the literature for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 François Bachoc , Emilio Porcu , Moreno Bevilacqua , Reinhard Furrer , Tarik Faouzi

Linear quantile regression is a powerful tool to investigate how predictors may affect a response heterogeneously across different quantile levels. Unfortunately, existing approaches find it extremely difficult to adjust for any dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-30 Xu Chen , Surya T. Tokdar

Air pollutants pose a significant threat to the environment and human health, thus forecasting accurate pollutant concentrations is essential for pollution warnings and policy-making. Existing studies predominantly focus on single-pollutant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Xu Fan , Zhihao Wang , Yuetan Lin , Yan Zhang , Yang Xiang , Hao Li

In spatial regression models, collinearity between covariates and spatial effects can lead to significant bias in effect estimates. This problem, known as spatial confounding, is encountered modelling forestry data to assess the effect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Emiko Dupont , Simon N. Wood , Nicole Augustin

Urban air quality forecasting is challenging because pollutant concentrations are nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent, and often affected by anomalous observations caused by traffic congestion, industrial emissions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Nourin Jahan , Madhurima Panja , Muhammed Navas T , Tanujit Chakraborty

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Bent Jørgensen

Multivariate measurements taken at irregularly sampled locations are a common form of data, for example in geochemical analysis of soil. In practical considerations predictions of these measurements at unobserved locations are of great…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-12 Christoph Muehlmann , Klaus Nordhausen , Mengxi Yi

High-dimensional inference methods often rely on coefficient sparsity, an assumption that can be restrictive when signals are dense but individually weak. In such settings, valid inference may still be possible if the covariates exhibit…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Wenjun Xiong , Yan Chen , Mingya Long , Qizhai Li

Forecasting the particulate matter (PM) concentration in South Korea has become urgently necessary owing to its strong negative impact on human life. In most statistical or machine learning methods, independent and identically distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-02 Jongsu Kim , Changhoon Lee

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is associated with adverse human health effects, and China is currently suffering from serious PM2.5 pollution. To obtain spatially continuous ground-level PM2.5 concentrations, several models established by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-08 Tongwen Li , Huanfeng Shen , Chao Zeng , Qiangqiang Yuan , Liangpei Zhang

Due to the latest environmental concerns in keeping at bay contaminants emissions in urban areas, air pollution forecasting has been rising the forefront of all researchers around the world. When predicting pollutant concentrations, it is…

Technological developments and open data policies have made large, global environmental datasets accessible to everyone. For analysing such datasets, including spatiotemporal correlations using traditional models based on Gaussian processes…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Marius Appel , Edzer Pebesma

Accurate and timely air quality and weather predictions are of great importance to urban governance and human livelihood. Though many efforts have been made for air quality or weather prediction, most of them simply employ one another as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Jindong Han , Hao Liu , Hengshu Zhu , Hui Xiong , Dejing Dou