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Modern neural networks have found to be miscalibrated in terms of confidence calibration, i.e., their predicted confidence scores do not reflect the observed accuracy or precision. Recent work has introduced methods for post-hoc confidence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Fabian Küppers , Jan Kronenberger , Jonas Schneider , Anselm Haselhoff

The estimation of small probabilities of failure from computer simulations is a classical problem in engineering, and the Subset Simulation algorithm proposed by Au & Beck (Prob. Eng. Mech., 2001) has become one of the most popular method…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-10 Ling Li , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-06 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Guang Cheng

Equation discovery is a fundamental learning task for uncovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems, with wide-ranging applications in areas such as brain connectivity analysis, climate modeling, gene regulation, and physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Jiaqiang Li , Jianbin Tan , Xueqin Wang

Mathematical solvers use parametrized Optimization Problems (OPs) as inputs to yield optimal decisions. In many real-world settings, some of these parameters are unknown or uncertain. Recent research focuses on predicting the value of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Alan A. Lahoud , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes A. Stork

Sparse Bayesian learning (SBL) is a powerful framework for tackling the sparse coding problem while also providing uncertainty quantification. The most popular inference algorithms for SBL exhibit prohibitively large computational costs for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-31 Alexander Lin , Andrew H. Song , Berkin Bilgic , Demba Ba

Probabilistic predictions from neural networks which account for predictive uncertainty during classification is crucial in many real-world and high-impact decision making settings. However, in practice most datasets are trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Satya Borgohain , Klaus Ackermann , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

3D microscopy is key in the investigation of diverse biological systems, and the ever increasing availability of large datasets demands automatic cell identification methods that not only are accurate, but also can imply the uncertainty in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Alvaro Gomariz , Tiziano Portenier , César Nombela-Arrieta , Orcun Goksel

Bayesian $l_0$-regularized least squares is a variable selection technique for high dimensional predictors. The challenge is optimizing a non-convex objective function via search over model space consisting of all possible predictor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-19 Nicholas G. Polson , Lei Sun

Sparse model identification enables nonlinear dynamical system discovery from data. However, the control of false discoveries for sparse model identification is challenging, especially in the low-data and high-noise limit. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 L. Mars Gao , Urban Fasel , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We consider the problem of robust compressed sensing whose objective is to recover a high-dimensional sparse signal from compressed measurements corrupted by outliers. A new sparse Bayesian learning method is developed for robust compressed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-24 Qian Wan , Huiping Duan , Jun Fang , Hongbin Li

Nonlinear kernel regression models are often used in statistics and machine learning because they are more accurate than linear models. Variable selection for kernel regression models is a challenge partly because, unlike the linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Lorin Crawford , Kris C. Wood , Xiang Zhou , Sayan Mukherjee

The proliferation of automated inference algorithms in Bayesian statistics has provided practitioners newfound access to fast, reproducible data analysis and powerful statistical models. Designing automated methods that are also both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Trevor Campbell , Boyan Beronov

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression under sparsity constraints. The prior is a mixture of point masses at zero and continuous distributions. Under compatibility conditions on the design matrix, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Ismaël Castillo , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Aad van der Vaart

Sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) is a powerful framework for attaining sparsity in probabilistic models. Herein, we propose a coordinate ascent algorithm for SBL termed Relevance Matching Pursuit (RMP) and show that, as its noise variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Sebastian Ament , Carla Gomes

Quantile regression, a robust method for estimating conditional quantiles, has advanced significantly in fields such as econometrics, statistics, and machine learning. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of covariates exceeds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 The Tien Mai

Learning expressive kernels while retaining tractable inference remains a central challenge in scaling Gaussian processes (GPs) to large and complex datasets. We propose a scalable GP regressor based on deep basis kernels (DBKs). Our DBK is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Yunqin Zhu , Henry Shaowu Yuchi , Yao Xie

We propose a novel adaptive empirical Bayesian method for sparse deep learning, where the sparsity is ensured via a class of self-adaptive spike-and-slab priors. The proposed method works by alternatively sampling from an adaptive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-15 Wei Deng , Xiao Zhang , Faming Liang , Guang Lin

The universal tendency in scanning probe microscopy (SPM) over the last two decades is to transition from simple 2D imaging to complex detection and spectroscopic imaging modes. The emergence of complex SPM engines brings forth the…

Marginalising over families of Gaussian Process kernels produces flexible model classes with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. Existing approaches require likelihood evaluations of many kernels, rendering them prohibitively expensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Saad Hamid , Sebastian Schulze , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts
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