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Prediction algorithms that quantify the expected benefit of a given treatment conditional on patient characteristics can critically inform medical decisions. Quantifying the performance of treatment benefit prediction algorithms is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Yuan Xia , Paul Gustafson , Mohsen Sadatsafavi

In this paper, we establish a connection between model predictive control (MPC) techniques and Control Barrier Functions (CBFs). Recognizing the similarity between CBFs and Control Lyapunov Functions (CLFs), we propose a MPC formulation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Jingyi Huang , Han Wang , Kostas Margellos , Paul Goulart

We propose a Conditional Density Filtering (C-DF) algorithm for efficient online Bayesian inference. C-DF adapts MCMC sampling to the online setting, sampling from approximations to conditional posterior distributions obtained by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-23 Shaan Qamar , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Cause-effect analysis is crucial to understand the underlying mechanism of a system. We propose to exploit model invariance through interventions on the predictors to infer causality in nonlinear multivariate systems of time series. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

The highly influential two-group model in testing a large number of statistical hypotheses assumes that the test statistics are drawn independently from a mixture of a high probability null distribution and a low probability alternative.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Ruth Heller , Saharon Rosset

A critical limitation of current methods based on Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) is that they are unable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the learned appearance and geometry of the scene. This information is paramount in real…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Jianxiong Shen , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer , Adria Ruiz

Counterfactual statements, which describe events that did not or cannot take place, are beneficial to numerous NLP applications. Hence, we consider the problem of counterfactual detection (CFD) and seek to enhance the CFD models. Previous…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Thong Nguyen , Truc-My Nguyen

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Reducing the number of false discoveries is presently one of the most pressing issues in the life sciences. It is of especially great importance for many applications in neuroimaging and genomics, where datasets are typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-26 Alexej Gossmann , Pascal Zille , Vince Calhoun , Yu-Ping Wang

Sorted L-One Penalized Estimation (SLOPE) has shown the nice theoretical property as well as empirical behavior recently on the false discovery rate (FDR) control of high-dimensional feature selection by adaptively imposing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Jingxuan Liang , Hong Chen , Xuelin Zhang , Weifu Li , Xin Tang

Out of the participants in a randomized experiment with anticipated heterogeneous treatment effects, is it possible to identify which subjects have a positive treatment effect? While subgroup analysis has received attention, claims about…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Boyan Duan , Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas

Classification is one of the core problems in Computer-Aided Diagnosis (CAD), targeting for early cancer detection using 3D medical imaging interpretation. High detection sensitivity with desirably low false positive (FP) rate is critical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-05-20 Meizhu Liu , Le Lu , Xiaojing Ye , Shipeng Yu

Sparse principal component analysis (PCA) aims at mapping large dimensional data to a linear subspace of lower dimension. By imposing loading vectors to be sparse, it performs the double duty of dimension reduction and variable selection.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-17 Jasin Machkour , Arnaud Breloy , Michael Muma , Daniel P. Palomar , Frédéric Pascal

Simulation-based inference methods that feature correct conditional coverage of confidence sets based on observations that have been compressed to a scalar test statistic require accurate modeling of either the p-value function or the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Ali Al Kadhim , Harrison B. Prosper

In high-dimensional regression modelling, the number of candidate covariates to be included in the predictor is quite large, and variable selection is crucial. In this work, we propose a new penalty able to guarantee both sparse variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Daniele Cuntrera , Luigi Augugliaro , Vito M. R. Muggeo

Forward regression is a crucial methodology for automatically identifying important predictors from a large pool of potential covariates. In contexts with moderate predictor correlation, forward selection techniques can achieve screening…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-23 Xuejun Jiang , Yue Ma , Haofeng Wang

The interpretation of the results of survival analysis often benefits from latent factor representations of baseline covariates. However, existing methods, such as Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF), do not incorporate survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Paul Fogel , Christophe Geissler , George Luta

Often machine learning and statistical models will attempt to describe the majority of the data. However, there may be situations where only a fraction of the data can be fit well by a linear regression model. Here, we are interested in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Brendan Juba , Leda Liang

In this paper, we investigate safety-critical control problem of discrete-time stochastic systems with incomplete information, where safety constraints must be enforced using state estimates obtained from noisy measurements. We develop an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-15 Jianing Zhao , Zhuoting Cai , Xiang Yin

Stochastic Closed-Loop Active Fault Diagnosis (CLAFD) aims to select the input sequentially in order to improve the discrimination of different models by minimizing the predicted error probability. As computation of these error…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-12 Jacques Noom , Oleg Soloviev , Carlas Smith , Michel Verhaegen