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The growing penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs) is inevitable to reach net zero emissions. In this regard, optimal planning and operation of power systems are becoming more critical due to the need for modeling the short-term…
Short-term uncertainty should be properly modeled when the expansion planning problem in a power system is analyzed. Since the use of all available historical data may lead to intractability, clustering algorithms should be applied in order…
Energy system optimization often relies on time series aggregation to ensure computational tractability. Aggregation generally loses the chronology of time steps, which renders the storage level representation challenging. Typically, this…
Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…
The growing integration of renewable energy sources into power systems requires planning models to account for not only demand variability but also fluctuations in renewable availability during operational periods. Capturing this temporal…
To account for volatile renewable energy supply, energy systems optimization problems require high temporal resolution. Many models use time-series clustering to find representative periods to reduce the amount of time-series input data and…
As the decarbonization of power systems accelerates, there has been increasing interest in capacity expansion models for their role in guiding this transition. Representative period selection is an important component of capacity expansion…
This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…
The growing share of renewable energy makes the optimization of power flows in power system models computationally more complicated, due to the widely distributed weather-dependent electricity generation. This article evaluates two methods…
Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…
Daily electricity consumption forecasting is a classical problem. Existing forecasting algorithms tend to have decreased accuracy on special dates like holidays. This study decomposes the daily electricity consumption series into three…
The short-term operation of a power system is usually planned by solving a day-ahead unit commitment problem. Due to historical reasons, the commitment of the power generating units is decided over a time horizon typically consisting of the…
Energy system models are challenged by the need for high temporal and spatial resolutions in or-der to appropriately depict the increasing share of intermittent renewable energy sources, storage technologies, and the growing…
Accurate intraday forecasts are essential for power system operations, complementing day-ahead forecasts that gradually lose relevance as new information becomes available. This paper introduces a Bayesian updating mechanism that converts…
Time series aggregation is a common approach to reduce the computational complexity of large-scale energy system optimization models. However, maintaining chronological continuity between the resulting representative periods (RPs) remains a…
Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…
The growing share of intermittent renewable energy sources, storage technologies, and the increasing degree of so-called sector coupling necessitates optimization-based energy system models with high temporal and spatial resolutions, which…
We introduce a new technique for the efficient management of large sequences of multidimensional data, which takes advantage of regularities that arise in real-world datasets and supports different types of aggregation queries. More…
The penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE) in electrical systems has changed the way the expansion planning is treated. This kind of resource has great variability in small amounts of time, which makes it important to represent…
The optimization-based design of renewable energy systems is a computationally demanding task because of the high temporal fluctuation of supply and demand time series. In order to reduce these time series, the aggregation of typical…