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In the absence of a theory of everything, modern physicists need to rely on other predictive tools and turned to Effective Field Theories (EFTs) in a number of fields, including but not limited to statistical mechanics, condensed matter,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-08-17 Victor Pozsgay

Amortized simulation-based inference (SBI) methods train neural networks on simulated data to perform Bayesian inference. While this strategy avoids the need for tractable likelihoods, it often requires a large number of simulations and has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Manuel Gloeckler , Shoji Toyota , Kenji Fukumizu , Jakob H. Macke

This paper presents a novel framework for full-waveform seismic source inversion using simulation-based inference (SBI). Traditional probabilistic approaches often rely on simplifying assumptions about data errors, which we show can lead to…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-15 A. A. Saoulis , D. Piras , A. Spurio Mancini , B. Joachimi , A. M. G. Ferreira

Single-molecule force spectroscopy (smFS) is a powerful approach to studying molecular self-organization. However, the coupling of the molecule with the ever-present experimental device introduces artifacts, that complicates the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Lars Dingeldein , Pilar Cossio , Roberto Covino

We estimate the power spectrum of mass density fluctuations from peculiar velocities of galaxies by applying an improved maximum-likelihood technique to the new all-sky SFI catalog. Parametric models are used for the power spectrum and the…

We present cosmological constraints from weak lensing with the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) first-year (Y1) data, using a simulation-based inference (SBI) method. % We explore the performance of a set of higher-order statistics (HOS)…

How much cosmological information can we reliably extract from existing and upcoming large-scale structure observations? Many summary statistics fall short in describing the non-Gaussian nature of the late-time Universe in comparison to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-15 Kai Lehman , Sven Krippendorf , Jochen Weller , Klaus Dolag

We test the robustness of simulation-based inference (SBI) in the context of cosmological parameter estimation from galaxy cluster counts and masses in simulated optical datasets. We construct ``simulations'' using analytical models for the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-01 Moonzarin Reza , Yuanyuan Zhang , Camille Avestruz , Louis E. Strigari , Simone Shevchuk , Francisco Villaescusa-Navarro

Marginalizing over roughly 12 effective-field-theory (EFT) nuisance parameters per tracer per redshift bin is a dominant systematic cost in full-shape galaxy power spectrum analyses. Simulation-based priors (SBP) tighten these parameters…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-07 Nhat-Minh Nguyen

Weak gravitational lensing is one of the few direct methods to map the dark-matter distribution on large scales in the Universe, and to estimate cosmological parameters. We study a Bayesian inference problem where the data covariance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-01 Martin Kilbinger , Emille E. O. Ishida , Jessi Cisewski-Kehe

After the successful full-shape analyses of BOSS data using the Effective Field Theory of Large-Scale Structure, we investigate what upcoming galaxy surveys might achieve. We introduce a ``perturbativity prior" that ensures that loop terms…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-01 Diogo Bragança , Yaniv Donath , Leonardo Senatore , Henry Zheng

The simulation cost for cosmological simulation-based inference can be decreased by combining simulation sets of varying fidelity. We propose an approach to such multi-fidelity inference based on feature matching and knowledge distillation.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-02 Leander Thiele , Adrian E. Bayer , Naoya Takeishi

We extend field-level inference to jointly constrain the cosmological parameters $\{A,\omega_{\rm cdm},H_0\}$, in both real and redshift space. Our analyses are based on mock data generated using a perturbative forward model, with noise…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-25 Kazuyuki Akitsu , Marko Simonović , Shi-Fan Chen , Giovanni Cabass , Matias Zaldarriaga

We propose a new, likelihood-free approach to inferring the primordial matter power spectrum and cosmological parameters from arbitrarily complex forward models of galaxy surveys where all relevant statistics can be determined from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-09 Florent Leclercq , Wolfgang Enzi , Jens Jasche , Alan Heavens

Probing heavy new physics beyond the Standard Model (SM) increasingly relies on global effective field theory (EFT) likelihoods. We introduce differentiable, multi-scale EFT likelihoods that combine renormalization-group evolution,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-03-18 Aleks Smolkovič , Peter Stangl

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a promising approach to leverage high fidelity cosmological simulations and extract information from the non-Gaussian, non-linear scales that cannot be modeled analytically. However, scaling SBI to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-27 Chirag Modi , Shivam Pandey , Matthew Ho , ChangHoon Hahn , Bruno R'egaldo-Saint Blancard , Benjamin Wandelt

A central challenge in many areas of science and engineering is to identify model parameters that are consistent with prior knowledge and empirical data. Bayesian inference offers a principled framework for this task, but can be…

We present an emulator for the two-point clustering of biased tracers in real space. We construct this emulator using neural networks calibrated with more than $400$ cosmological models in a 8-dimensional cosmological parameter space that…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-03 Matteo Zennaro , Raul E. Angulo , Marcos Pellejero-Ibáñez , Jens Stücker , Sergio Contreras , Giovanni Aricò

The growing availability of large and complex datasets has increased interest in temporal stochastic processes that can capture stylized facts such as marginal skewness, non-Gaussian tails, long memory, and even non-Markovian dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Dan Leonte , Raphaël Huser , Almut E. D. Veraart

The fate of scientific hypotheses often relies on the ability of a computational model to explain the data, quantified in modern statistical approaches by the likelihood function. The log-likelihood is the key element for parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Bas van Opheusden , Luigi Acerbi , Wei Ji Ma